{"id":51084,"date":"2026-07-09T00:29:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T00:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-5-75%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ec%8b%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-09T00:29:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T00:29:02","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-5-75%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ec%8b%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-5-75%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ec%8b%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 5.75%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\u2026\ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd \uac1c\uc120"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 2.5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. RBNZ\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 2% \ubaa9\ud45c \uc911\uac04\uac12\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uac00\uaca9 \uacb0\uc815 \ud589\ud0dc, \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc758 \uac15\ub3c4 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc911\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uacb0\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ud654\ub410\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud1b5\ud654\uc644\ud654 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uac70\ub46c\ub4e4\uc77c \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uac70\uc758 40bp\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR) \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 ABN AMRO\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110\uacfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud3ed\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\uac8c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubbf8\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

RBNZ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\n

\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uc778 \uacf5\uc2dd\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(OCR)\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 5.75%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc644\uace0\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc751\uc73c\ub85c, \ucd5c\uc2e0 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.8%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. RBNZ\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uae30\ubd80\uc591(\ud1b5\ud654\uc790\uadf9) \ucd95\uc18c\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

NZD\/USD \ubc0f \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\n

RBNZ\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubbf8\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc804 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, OIS(\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc651)\ub294 \ucd5c\uc885\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 6.10% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28 \ud655\ub300\ub294 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 NZD\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub824\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubaa9\ud45c, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 0.6300\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

2022~2024\ub144 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc591\uc0c1\uc774 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc NZD\ub294 RBNZ\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ucd08\uae30\uc5d0 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ubbf8\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac NZD\/USD\ub294 0.6150\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c RBNZ\uac00 \uc21c\ud48d\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uac15\uc138(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658)\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \uc800\ud56d \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub6f8\uae4c?\u201d RBNZ, OCR 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 5.75%\u2026\uc778\ud50c\ub808 3.8% \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2dc\uc0ac. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub0b4 40bp \ub354 \ubc18\uc601, NZD\/USD \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc804\ub9dd.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50426,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51084","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51084"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51084\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50426"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51084"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51084"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51084"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}