{"id":51079,"date":"2026-07-08T22:58:31","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T22:58:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%c2%b7%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9d-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T22:58:31","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T22:58:31","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%c2%b7%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9d-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%c2%b7%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9d-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \ubca0\ud305 \uc644\ud654 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud63c\uc870\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub418\uba70 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc704\ucd95\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 6% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub7f0\ub358 \ucd08\ubc18 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ud734\uc804 \uad00\ub828 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \ubc18\ub0a9\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \ub2f9\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc21c\ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc804\uac1c\uac00 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud504\ub85c\uc138\uc2a4\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801 \uade0\uc5f4\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uad70\uc0ac \uc791\uc804\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc778\uc9c0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 6\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub358 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc640\ud504(OIS)\uac00 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \ud3ed\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 37bp\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\ub97c \ube44\ud310\ud558\uace0, \uc5f0\uc900 \uac1c\ud601 \ud0dc\uc2a4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc11c\ub294 \ub370 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc77c \uac83\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub410\uc73c\uba70 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uc758 \uac80\ud1a0\ub97c \uac70\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\uac00 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc704\ucd95\ub418\uba70 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc99d\uc2dc\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c 9\uc6d4\ubb3c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778(\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub294) \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc870\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, DXY\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc0ac\ud0dc\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801 \u2018\ubd88\uc528\u2019\uc778\uc9c0, \uc7a5\uae30 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc758 \ucd9c\ubc1c\uc810\uc778\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud655\uc2e0\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uba38\ubb47\uac70\ub9bc\uc740 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub09c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uc5d0 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc2a4\uc640\ud504\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c 37bp\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uacfc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc5f0\uc728 2.4%\ub85c \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\uac00 22\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f \ubcfc) \uc5ed\uc2dc \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc20f \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \uc99d\ud3ed\uc2dc\ud0ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \ubc30\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub300(\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds) \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \u2018\uc778\ub0b4\u2019\ub97c \uac15\uc870\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uacfc \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 2015~2016\ub144 \uc0ac\ub840\ucc98\ub7fc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc7a6\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uba74, \ucd5c\uadfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ucde8\uc57d\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub354 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud1b5\ud654\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294(\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\ub3c4) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uc774\uc288\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \u2018\ub354 \uc778\ub0b4\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud574\ub2f9 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\uc5d0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uae09\ub7ad! \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc99d\uc2dc \ud558\ub77d\u00b7\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 6% \uae09\ub4f1 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\uc218 \ubbf8\ud761. \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc644\ud654\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 37bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\uc804.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51079","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51079","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51079"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51079\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51079"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51079"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51079"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}