{"id":51069,"date":"2026-07-08T20:28:57","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T20:28:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbnz-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-2-50%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T20:28:57","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T20:28:57","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbnz-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-2-50%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbnz-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-2-50%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ), \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 2.50%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\u2026\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD) \uc804\ub9dd \uc548\uc815 \uc18d \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc0ac"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR)\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 2.50%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uc73c\uba70, \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \u201c\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uadf8 \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \u201c\ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uc778\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. RBNZ\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \ube44(\u975e)\uad50\uc5ed\uc7ac \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc9c0\uc18d\ub3fc \uc654\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 4\ub3002\ub85c \uc758\uacac\uc774 \uac08\ub9b4 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub790\ub2e4. \uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc651(OIS) \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 38bp\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc870\uce58\ub294 9~10\uc6d4\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2026\ub144 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d(\uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 2027\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0) \uae34\ucd95 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub354 \uc644\ub9cc\ud574\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\uac00 \uc2e4\ub9b0\ub2e4. NZD\/USD\uc758 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 0.59\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Drivers Of The Rate Hike And Near-Term Market Impact<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 2.50%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc218\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \ud589\ubcf4\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 2\ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uacc4\uae30\uac00 \ub410\ub294\ub370, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c 2.8%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc644\uace0\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \uacbd\uacc4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uac00 \uc774\ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \ud569\uc758\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 3.9%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c \uc810\ub3c4 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\u2019\uc744 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\ucdc4\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 35bp\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ud06c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub35c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. RBNZ\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc740 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \u2018\ud0a4\uc704\u2019 \uc120\ud638 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Policy Outlook And Currency Prospects<\/h3>\n\n<p>2022~2023\ub144\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c RBNZ\uac00 \ub2e8\ud638\ud558\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc120\ub840\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 RBNZ\uc758 \uacb0\uc758\ub97c \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud574\uc120 \uc548 \ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc774\ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ud0a4\uc704\ud654 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc 2026\ub144 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \uc774\ubc88 \uae34\ucd95\uc758 \ub204\uc801 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ubd80\uac01\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ub0b4\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \ubb34\ub835 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \uc7ac\ucc28 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\uba70, \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uc131\ub3c4 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc774\uc720\ub85c NZD\/USD\uc758 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub294 0.5900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud0a4\uc704 \uac15\uc138\u201d \uc7ac\uc810\ud654? RBNZ, OCR 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 2.50%\u2026\ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\uc9c0 \ub0a8\uacbc\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4. \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \ucd94\uac00 35~38bp \ubc18\uc601, NZD\/USD 0.59 \uc720\uc9c0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50358,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51069","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51069\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50358"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}