{"id":51055,"date":"2026-07-08T15:59:27","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T15:59:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%eb%a1%9c-usd-jpy-40%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T15:59:27","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T15:59:27","slug":"%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%eb%a1%9c-usd-jpy-40%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%eb%a1%9c-usd-jpy-40%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub85c USD\/JPY 40\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\uc811\u2026\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubb34\ub825 \ucda9\ub3cc\ub85c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uace0 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \uc2dc\ub2ec\ub9ac\uba70 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, USD\/JPY\ub294 \uae30\uc0ac \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 162.50\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 40\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc \ucd08 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc120 \uacf5\uaca9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \ub370 \uc774\uc5b4, \ubc24\uc0ac\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc0c1\ud638 \uad50\uc804\uc744 \ubc8c\uc600\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc559\uce74\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \ub098\ud1a0 \uc815\uc0c1\ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub780\uacfc\uc758 \ud734\uc804 \ud569\uc758\ub294 \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub418\uc0b4\ub824 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uc6d0\uc720\uc758 \uc57d 90%\ub97c \uc911\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc785\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ucde8\uc57d\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 68%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 18:00 GMT(\uadf8\ub9ac\ub2c8\uce58\ud3c9\uade0\uc2dc) \uacf5\uac1c \uc608\uc815\uc778 6\uc6d4 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\uc774 \uae34\ucd95 \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 BoJ \uad8c\ud55c\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ud750\ub984, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc5ed\ud559<\/h3>\n\n

\uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uac08\ub4f1 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 USD\/JPY\ub97c 40\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\uc5b4 \uc62c\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ud655\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, USD\/JPY \uc635\uc158 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 14%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

WTI \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\uba70(2024\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c) \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc785\uc758 85% \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\ub2e4. \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud55c, \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uc555\ubc15\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc815\ucc45 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\ud655\uc0b0 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uace0, \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 68%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub0a0 \ub2a6\uac8c \uacf5\uac1c\ub418\ub294 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb38\uad6c\uac00 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ubd99\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ubc18\uba74 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc6b0\uc5d0\ub2e4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5ec\ub825\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 10\ub144\ubb3c JGB(\uc77c\ubcf8 \uad6d\ucc44) \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc218\uc2ed \ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc778 1.10% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\uc5b4 \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 BoJ\uac00 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uae34\ucd95\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \u2018\uc5ed\ub7c9\u2019\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 USD\/JPY\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uac1c\uc785\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ub0b4\ub193\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2022\ub144 \uac1c\uc785 \ub2f9\uc2dc 9\uc870 \uc5d4 \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ud22c\uc785\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uba74\uc11c 5\uc5d4 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac 162.50\uc120\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubbf8\uc9c0\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud558\uba70, \uae09\ubcc0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud070 \uad6c\uac04\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc811\uadfc: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc635\uc158<\/h3>\n\n

\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc694\uc778\uacfc \uae09\ub77d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uacf5\uc874\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \u2018\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubcf4\uc720\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uae30 1~2\uac1c\uc6d4\uc758 USD\/JPY \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ucd94\uc138\uc801 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774\ub4e0, \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\ubc18\uc804\uc774\ub4e0 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ub54c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9de\ud600\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc0c1\uc2b9(\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138) \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74 \ud604\ubb3c FX \uac70\ub798\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\ub294 USD\/JPY \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc5bb\uc73c\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uac1c\uc785\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc7a0\uc7ac \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd94\uc138\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\ub418 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc911\ub3d9 \ucda9\ub3cc \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\uc5d0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026USD\/JPY 162.50\u00b740\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \uc555\ubc15. \uc720\uac00 95\ub2ec\ub7ec\u2191\ub85c \uc5d4 \uc57d\uc138, 9\uc6d4 Fed \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 68%. FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\u00b7\uc77c\ubcf8 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50186,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51055","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51055"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51055\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50186"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}