{"id":51042,"date":"2026-07-08T11:29:16","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T11:29:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-fomc-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0%ea%b8%88-4100%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T11:29:16","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T11:29:16","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-fomc-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0%ea%b8%88-4100%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-fomc-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0%ea%b8%88-4100%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ub300\uae30\u2026\uae08, 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ud68c \uc720\uc9c0\u00b7\uc720\uac00\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \uc81c\ud55c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uae08\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 6\uc6d4 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 2\uc8fc \ucd5c\uace0\uce58(4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ud68c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ubbf8 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uac70\uc2dc \ud658\uacbd \uc804\ubc18\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud558\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \ud55c\uce35 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc870\uc120 3\ucc99\uc774 \uacf5\uaca9\ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ub780\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c \uc6d0\uc720 \ud310\ub9e4\ub97c \ud5c8\uc6a9\ud574\uc628 \uc591\ubcf4 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ucca0\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. CME\uadf8\ub8f9\uc758 \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 25bp(0.25%p) \uc778\uc0c1 1\ud68c \uc774\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 80% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 10\ub144\ubb3c\uc740 4.567%, 2\ub144\ubb3c\uc740 4.189%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c XAU\/USD\ub294 \ud558\ud5a5 \uae30\uc6b8\uae30\uc758 \ucc44\ub110 \ub0b4\ubd80\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba70 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. MACD\ub294 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc RSI\ub294 44.33\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub454\ud654\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,164.35\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\uace0, \ucd94\uac00 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c 200\uc77c SMA\uc778 4,491.30\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 3,713.85\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n

\ud604 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \ucd5c\uadfc \uae08\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub97c \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubd80\uac01\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc758 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ub85c\uc774\uc988 \uc624\ube0c \ub7f0\ub358\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc720\uc870\uc120\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\uc7c1\uc704\ud5d8\ubcf4\ud5d8\ub8cc\ub97c 35% \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 115\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uc62c\ud574 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc120 \ub4f1 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.9%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uc7ac\ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5ec\ub984 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud655\uc2e0\uc758 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 9\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uace0\uc815\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4.5% \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ub192\uc740 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \uae30\uad00 \uc790\uae08 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub5a8\uc5b4\ub728\ub9b0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac<\/h3>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 4,164\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ucc44\ub110 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ub354\uba38\ub2c8(OTM) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c, \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c(\uc138\ud0c0) \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. Cboe \uace8\ub4dc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(GVZ)\ub294 22.5\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud558\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 3,800\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74, \ud604 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc44\ub110 \ud558\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud558\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae30\uc874\uc5d0 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74 3,715\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\uac00 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ud504\ub85c\ud14d\ud2f0\ube0c \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc774\ud0c8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ud5d8 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc744 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \ub4a4 \uadf8 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0(\ud604\uc7ac 4,491\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uba3c \uc218\uc900) \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uae08 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ud68c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u2018FOMC \ub9e4\ud30c+\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u2019\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc81c\ud55c. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ud638 \uc18d \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 80%\u2191, \ucc44\ub110 \ud558\ub2e8 \uc555\ub825\u2026 4,164 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50147,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51042","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51042"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51042\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50147"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51042"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51042"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}