{"id":51011,"date":"2026-07-08T04:28:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T04:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8eur-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-ecb-%ec%9d%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T04:28:00","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T04:28:00","slug":"%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8eur-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-ecb-%ec%9d%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8eur-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-ecb-%ec%9d%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026EUR\/USD \ud558\ub77d, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 ECB \uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\ub77c\ub294 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801 \uc870\ud569\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \ucc44, \uc7a5\uc911 1.1450\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc00\ub824 1.1406\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc885\uac00\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc62c\ud574 ECB\uc758 25bp \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 1\ud68c\ub97c \uae30\uc6b8\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, 7\uc6d4 23\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654 4\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc774 2\ub9cc1,000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c1\uc804 2\ub9cc4,250\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub97c \uac70\uc758 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uac70\uc2dc \ubcc0\uc218\uc758 \uad50\ucc28\ud750\ub984\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c\ub418\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacb0\uc815\uc801 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\ubc1c(\u767c) \uc18d\ubcf4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uad70\uc774 \uc0c1\uc120 3\ucc99\uc744 \uacf5\uaca9\ud588\uace0, \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc740 \ubcf4\ubcf5 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uac00 \uc774\ub780 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc81c\uc7ac \uc644\ud654\ub97c \ucca0\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uac70\ub798 \uc0c1\ub300\ubc29\uc5d0 7\uc6d4 17\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac70\ub798 \uc885\ub8cc(\uc708\ub4dc\ub2e4\uc6b4) \uae30\ud55c\uc744 \ubd80\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 76\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uc57d 3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc7a5 \ud6c4\ubc18 1.1410\uc744 \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI 4.2%(3\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58), 6\uc6d4 FOMC\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac 3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0(\ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58), 2026\ub144 \uc911\uac04\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 3.8% \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 7\uc6d4 29\uc77c \ud68c\uc758 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 75%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\ub294 21\ub9cc8,000\uac74(\uc774\uc804 21\ub9cc5,000\uac74)\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Persisting Euro Weakness Despite Hawkish ECB and Inflation Prints<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 ECB\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ub4f1 \uac89\ubcf4\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \u2018\ud638\uc7ac\u2019\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uc7ac\ub8cc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc2e4\ud328\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0\ub3c4 2.9%\ub85c \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ud1a4\uc744 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc791\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub7f0 \uc791\uc740 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ucd94\uaca9 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ucd09\ubc1c\ub41c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc624\ud504 \ud658\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uc9c1\uacb0\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 3.5%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \uac83\ub3c4 \uac19\uc740 \ub9e5\ub77d\uc774\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 1\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc624\ub97c \ub54c\ub9c8\ub2e4, Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubbf8\ub8e8\uac8c \ub420 \ub17c\uac70\uac00 \ud558\ub098\uc529 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \uc148\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Positioning and Downside Risks Ahead of Key FOMC Minutes<\/h3>\n

\uc774\uc81c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \u2018\uba54\uc778 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\u2019\ub294 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774\uba70, \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uac00 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac Fed funds \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 30% \uc218\uc900\ub9cc \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub258\uc559\uc2a4\uac00 \uac15\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacf5\uac1c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ud558\ubc29 \ubc29\uc5b4(\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc0ac\uc774\ub4dc \ud504\ub85c\ud14d\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 1.1300 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uae09\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc800\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub85c\uac00 1.1450 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \ud55c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \uc57d\uc138 \ucabd\uc5d0 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4. 1.1450\uc740 \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub2a5\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \ud558\ubc29\uc774\uba70, 1\ucc28 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 1.1350, \uc774\ud6c4 1.1300 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9(\uac78\ud504) \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \ub610\ub294 Fed\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c, \uc774 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc7a5\uc545\ud588\ub2e4. ECB \ub9e4\ud30c\uc5d0\ub3c4 EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1406\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4, FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51011","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51011"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51011\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}