{"id":50961,"date":"2026-07-07T02:28:48","date_gmt":"2026-07-07T02:28:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-fed-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-07-07T02:28:48","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T02:28:48","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-fed-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-fed-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9, Fed \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ub300\uae30"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 0.25% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\ub294 0.6921\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4 0.6950\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 6\uc6d4 ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI\ub294 54.5\uc5d0\uc11c 54\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\ub2e4. \uc138\ubd80 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Prices Index)\uac00 71.3\uc5d0\uc11c 67.7\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\uc218(Employment Index)\ub294 47.9\uc5d0\uc11c 51.2\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc774\uc81c Fed \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d(\ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5 \uccb4\uc81c\uc758 \uccab \ud68c\uc758)\uacfc 7\uc6d4 4\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub098\ub294 \uc8fc\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c(Initial Jobless Claims)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 RBA \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 \uc774\uc804 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc758 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc911\uc9c0\u2019\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \ubb3c\uac00 \ubc0f \uace0\uc6a9 \ubaa9\ud45c \ub2ec\uc131\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub480\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c RBA\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.6955 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, 0.7091 \uadfc\ucc98\uc758 50\u00b7100\u00b7200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) \ubc00\uc9d1 \uad6c\uac04 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. RSI(14)\ub294 \uc57d 43 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.7002, \uc774\ud6c4 0.7086~0.7111 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ud638\uc8fc \ucd5c\ub300 \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc778 \ucca0\uad11\uc11d\uc740 2021\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uc5f0\uac04 1,180\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\uc73c\uba70, RBA\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\ubaa9\ud45c \ubc34\ub4dc\ub294 2~3%\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc640 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n

\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc 0.6950\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ubc18\uc751\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 4.35%, \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc740 5.50%\ub85c, \uae30\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720\uac00 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\ub2e4. \uc774 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 AUD\/USD\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd80\ub2f4(\uc5ed\ud48d)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.7100 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\ubcbd \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\ub4e4\uc774 \ubc00\uc9d1\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae30\uc800\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\uc801 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad6c\uc870\ub294 \ubcc0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \uc2e4\ud328\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 0.6900 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \ub300\uc548\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 0.7100 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc0c1\ub2e8(\ucea1)\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ub3d9\uc778\uacfc \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uc57d\ud654\ub85c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 49.8\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc704\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74(50 \ubbf8\ub9cc)\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud574 \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uace0, \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \ud1a4\ub2f9 105\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 2.8%\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70, \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc18d\uc9c0 \ub9c8\ub77c\u201d \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec, \u7f8e \uace0\uc6a9\ub454\ud654\uc5d0 0.6950\uae4c\uc9c0 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc0c1\uc2b9. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\u00b70.71 \uc800\ud56d, \uc911\uad6d \ub454\ud654\u00b7\ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c\u2014FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50961"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50961\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}