{"id":50953,"date":"2026-07-07T00:29:21","date_gmt":"2026-07-07T00:29:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-5%eb%a7%8c3%ec%b2%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%ed%9b%84-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0%ec%a3%bc-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-07T00:29:21","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T00:29:21","slug":"%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-5%eb%a7%8c3%ec%b2%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%ed%9b%84-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0%ec%a3%bc-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-5%eb%a7%8c3%ec%b2%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%ed%9b%84-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0%ec%a3%bc-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218 5\ub9cc3\ucc9c \ub3cc\ud30c \ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc18d \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d \ub300\uae30"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc7a5\uc911 \ud55c\ub54c 53,000\uc120\uc744 \uc7a0\uc2dc \ub3cc\ud30c\ud574 53,050\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc57d 400\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 52,900\uc120 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\uac04 S&P500\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 0.7% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 1.1% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc774\ub0a0\uc758 \uc9c0\uc218 \uac04 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uc740 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uc3e0\ub9bc \uc774\ub3d9\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc57d 2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ub300\ud45c \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \ud380\ub4dc\ub294 2\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 3% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ube0c\ub85c\ub4dc\ucef4\uc758 \uc560\ud50c \uacf5\uae09 \uacc4\uc57d \ud655\ub300 \uc18c\uc2dd \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4\uc8fc\uac00 \uc57d 3% \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uac70\uc2dc\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc804\uba74\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub824\ub193\uc558\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 5\ub9cc7,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd 10\ub9cc \uba85 \uc774\uc0c1) \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\ub098, ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 54\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uace0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 51.2\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ubcf5\uadc0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 67.7\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc774\ub2ec \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 75%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 18:00 GMT\uc5d0 \uacf5\uac1c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\ub294 \uc778\ub825\uc758 \uc57d 2%\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 4,800\uba85 \uac10\uc6d0 \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ub4a4 1% \ub118\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c \uac74\uc218\ub294 \uc774\uc804 21\ub9cc5,000\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 22\ub9cc \uac74 \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc139\ud130 \ub0b4 \uc21c\ud658\ub9e4\uc640 \uad34\ub9ac<\/h3>\n\n

\ub2e4\uc6b0\uac00 53,000\uc120\uc744 \uc7a0\uc2dc \ud130\uce58\ud55c \ub4a4 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \ubc00\ub9b0 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \u2018\uac70\ubd80\u2019\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\uc21c\ud658\ub9e4\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac \ubc0f \uae08\uc735 ETF\uc5d0\ub294 2026\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc21c\uc720\uc785\uc774 \uad00\uce21\ub41c \ubc18\uba74, \uc8fc\uc694 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \ud380\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 15\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \uc720\ucd9c\ub418\uba70 \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud070 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uacfc \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ub2e4\uc6b0 \uac04 \uad34\ub9ac \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131, \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n\n

\ud575\uc2ec \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ub840\uc801\uc778 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 14.5 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ub17c\uc7c1\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc548\ub3c4\uac10(\ucef4\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc120\uc2dc)\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ub610\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc774\ub840\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc218\uc694\uc77c FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub85c, \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4\uc778\uc9c0\ub97c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0bc \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(CME FedWatch Tool)\ub85c \ucd94\uc801\ub418\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc774\ub2ec \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960 74%, \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 26%\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb38 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub0ae\uc740 VIX\uc640 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \u2018\uc774\ubd84\ubc95\uc801(\ubc14\uc774\ub108\ub9ac)\u2019 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc131\uaca9\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 SPDR \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0 ETF(DIA)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \u2018\ub871 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uace0, \ucd09\ubc1c \uc694\uc778(\uce74\ud0c8\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8)\uc774 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc744 \ub54c \uac00\uc7a5 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc21c\ud658\ub9e4 \ud14c\ub9c8\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud398\uc5b4\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac \uc139\ud130 SPDR ETF(XLI) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\uc218\uc640 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 VanEck \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 ETF(SMH) \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uacb0\ud569\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\ub358 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc139\ud130\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub2e8\uae30 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 400\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae09\ub77d\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \ud761\uc218\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac15\uc138\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc774\ud6c4 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 52,500\uc120\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c DIA\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0, \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub354 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc218\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

53,000 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc9c1\ud6c4 400P \uae09\ub77d\u2026\ub2e4\uc6b0-\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \u2018\uc21c\ud658\ub9e4 \uad34\ub9ac\u2019 \ud655\ub300. \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960 75%. VIX 14\ub300 \u2018\uc548\ub3c4\u2019 \uc18d \uc218\uc694\uc77c FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud3ed\ubc1c \ucd09\ub9e4\ub420\uae4c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50220,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50953","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50953","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50953"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50953\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50220"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50953"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50953"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50953"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}