{"id":50913,"date":"2026-07-06T12:28:56","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T12:28:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0-%eb%af%b8-%ec%84%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-06T12:28:56","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T12:28:56","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0-%eb%af%b8-%ec%84%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0-%eb%af%b8-%ec%84%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc5d0 Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \ubbf8 \uc120\ubb3c \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026ISM\u00b7FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc55e\ub450\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uc2dc\uac04\ub300\uc5d0 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 0.18% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 53,280\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, S&P500 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 0.46% \uc624\ub978 7,560\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 1.03% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 29,860\uc120 \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 \uc7a5 \ud6c4\ubc18 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c\ub418\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) 6\uc6d4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub838\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 45.0%\ub85c, \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 48.3%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc57d 76%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 11\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc11\ub3c4\ub294 5\ub9cc7,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.2%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubb3c\ub3d9\ub7c9 \ud750\ub984 \ud68c\ubcf5\uacfc OPEC+ \uc99d\uc0b0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub85c \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 5\ub9cc3,000\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d 2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, S&P500\uc740 1.8%, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100\uc740 2.1% \uc62c\ub790\uc73c\uba70 \ud5ec\uc2a4\ucf00\uc5b4\u00b7\uae08\uc735\u00b7\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751<\/h3>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100\uc774 29,860\uc120\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud2b9\ud788 \uac15\ud55c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 5\ub9cc7,000\uba85\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba70 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub454\ud654\ub410\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900 \ub370\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 45%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640\ub3c4 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uad6c\uc778\u00b7\uc774\uc9c1 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(JOLTS)\ub294 \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218\uac00 820\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c 2\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.1%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub41c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uacb0\ud569\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc815\uc9c0(pause)\u2019\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ub354 \ub113\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud14c\ub9c8<\/h3>\n

\ub2f9\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc704\ud611\uc740 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ub4ef\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish) \ubb38\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2e8\uae30 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 76%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud655\uc0b0 \ud3ed\uc774 \ub113\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4\uc8fc\uac00 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud5ec\uc2a4\ucf00\uc5b4, \uae08\uc735, \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac\uac00 \uc2e0\uace0\uac00\ub97c \uacbd\uc2e0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc21c\ud658\ub9e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub0b4\ubd80 \uccb4\ub825\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c, \uc18c\uc218 \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd98\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub178\ucd9c\ub418\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\uc735 \uc139\ud130 ETF\uc778 \ud30c\uc774\ub0b8\uc15c \uc140\ub809\ud2b8 \uc139\ud130 SPDR \ud380\ub4dc(XLF) \ub4f1 \uc139\ud130 ETF \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcfc \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc815\uc9c0\u2019\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub418 \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. 2019\ub144 \uc774\ub978\ubc14 \u2018\ud30c\uc6d4 \ud53c\ubc97(Powell Pivot)\u2019\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc8fc\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ub300\ud45c \uc0ac\ub840\ub2e4. \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\ub3c4 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c \ubc0f \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uc5f0\uc900 \uba48\ucd94\ub098\u201d \uc57d\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ubbf8 \uc9c0\uc218\uc120\ubb3c \uc77c\uc81c \uac15\uc138\u2026\ub2e4\uc6b0 0.18%\u00b7S&P 0.46%\u00b7\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 1.03%. ISM\u00b7FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc8fc\ubaa9, 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 45%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d, \uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50245,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50913","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50913","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50913"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50913\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50245"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50913"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50913"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50913"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}