{"id":50875,"date":"2026-07-06T04:57:43","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T04:57:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9b%90%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%ac-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-07-06T04:57:43","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T04:57:43","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9b%90%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%ac-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9b%90%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%ac-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \uacac\uc870\u00b7RBNZ \uacb0\uc815 \uc784\ubc15"},"content":{"rendered":"

\nNZD\/USD\ub294 2\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc18\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 0.5690\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\ub294 ANZ \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218(ANZ World Commodity Price Index)\uac00 6\uc6d4 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c 1.0% \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. NZIER \uc100\ub3c4\ubcf4\ub4dc\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc758\uacac\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \ubc18\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uac08\ub9b0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR)\uac00 3.00%~3.25%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc911\uae30 \uc2dc\uac01\uc5d0\ub294 \uad6c\uc131\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc218\ub834\ud588\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n

\nANZ\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc790\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc778 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc218\uc694\uc77c OCR\uc744 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 2.50%\ub85c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 NZD\/USD\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ub418\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ubcf5\uc218 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 77.3%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c \uc608\uc815\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n

NZD\/USD\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n

\nNZD\/USD\ub294 0.5690\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218 1.0% \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ud0a4\uc704\ud654(NZD)\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n

\n\uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 2026\ub144 7\uc6d4 15\uc77c(\uc218) \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ) \ud68c\uc758\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 OCR 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, RBNZ\uc758 \ud1a4(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacbd\ub85c \uc2e0\ud638)\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n

\n\uc0c1\ub300 \ud1b5\ud654\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 3.7%\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 77.3%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 7\uc6d4 8\uc77c(\uc218) \uacf5\uac1c\ub418\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n

\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc678 \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n

\n\ub300\uc678 \uc694\uc778\ub3c4 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba70 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ucd5c\ub300 \uad50\uc5ed\uc0c1\ub300\uad6d\uc778 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ucc28\uc774\uc2e0(Caixin) \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 50.1\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n

\n\ub610\ud55c \ud0a4\uc704\ud654\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc778 \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uacbd\ub9e4(Global Dairy Trade)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 0.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uace0 \uc911\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 NZD\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n

\n\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc0c1\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c NZD\/USD\ub294 RBNZ \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 15\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uc99d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c RBNZ \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c \ud0a4\uc704\ud654\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud3ed\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud0a4\uc704\ud654 \u2018\uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019: NZD\/USD 0.5690\uc120 \ubc18\ub77d. \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\u00b7\uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ubd80\ub2f4. RBNZ 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d \ud1a4 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50580,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50875","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50875","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50875"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50875\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50580"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}