{"id":50860,"date":"2026-07-04T02:57:40","date_gmt":"2026-07-04T02:57:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%94-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-%ed%9c%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%eb%b0%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%8f%ad-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b6%80-%eb%a7%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-04T02:57:40","modified_gmt":"2026-07-04T02:57:40","slug":"%ec%97%94-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-%ed%9c%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%eb%b0%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%8f%ad-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b6%80-%eb%a7%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%94-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-%ed%9c%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%eb%b0%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%8f%ad-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b6%80-%eb%a7%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5d4\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728, \ud734\uc7a5 \uac70\ub798 \uc18d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ubc1c \ud558\ub77d\ud3ed \uc77c\ubd80 \ub9cc\ud68c\u2026\uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 CPI \ub300\ube44 \ubaa8\ub4dc"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub3c5\ub9bd\uae30\ub150\uc77c(7\uc6d4 4\uc77c) \uc5f0\ud734\ub85c \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ud55c\uc0b0\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\ub85c \ucd09\ubc1c\ub41c \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ub418\ucc3e\uc558\ub2e4. \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \ud658\uc728\uc740 161.30 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc55e\uc11c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 2\uc8fc \uc800\uc810\uc778 160.49\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9b0 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc624\ub798 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud55c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ucd08\uae30 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc774\ub904\uc9c0\uba70 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

4\uc2dc\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c USD\/JPY\ub294 161.29\ub85c, 100\uae30\uac04 \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) 161.29\uc640 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc77c\uce58\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\ub9bd\uc801\uc778 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. 20\uae30\uac04 SMA(161.91)\ub294 \ud604\ubb3c \uc704\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud558\uba70 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, RSI\uac00 40\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uac15\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc740 161.39, \uc774\uc5b4 20\uae30\uac04 SMA\uac00 \uc704\uce58\ud55c 161.91 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 161.12, \uc774\ud6c4 160.90\uacfc 160.79\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud558\ub2e8 \uc774\ud0c8\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc6b0\uc704\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud55c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\uc99d\uac00 15\ub9cc5,000\uba85, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1 18\ub9cc\uba85)\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ubc14\uafd4\ub193\uc558\ub2e4. \ud734\uc77c\ub85c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc587\uc740 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774 \ub274\uc2a4 \uc18c\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud574 161.30 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac04 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2f9\uc0ac\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 USD\/JPY\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc544\ub798\ucabd\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70(\ud558\ubc29 \uc6b0\uc704), \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \u2018\uba85\ubd84\u2019\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804 50%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac 75%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 7\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub610\ub294 8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 158~159 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0\uc790 \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4, \uc815\ucc45 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uac00\uaca9\uc774 160.80 \ubd80\uadfc \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc804\uba74\uc801\uc778 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubd80\uc7ac\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uba70, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 161.50\uc744 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4(iron condor)\ub098 \uc20f \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(short strangle) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba70 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ub808\uc778\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub97c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c 160\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\uc0c1 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ucee4\uc838 \uc654\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uae09\ub77d\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2e8\uc21c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud14c\uc77c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\ub97c \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub4f1 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c(defined-risk) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \uc120\ud638\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, \ud734\uc7a5 \uc18d 161.30\uc120 \u2018\uc228\uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019. 160.80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7161.91 \uc800\ud56d \ub808\uc778\uc9c0\u2026 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 75% \ubc18\uc601, \ud48b\uc635\uc158\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc640 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ubcd1\ud589 \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50118,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50860"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50860\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50118"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}