{"id":50854,"date":"2026-07-04T00:57:50","date_gmt":"2026-07-04T00:57:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%bc%ec%9e%90%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-9%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-04T00:57:50","modified_gmt":"2026-07-04T00:57:50","slug":"%ec%9d%bc%ec%9e%90%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-9%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%bc%ec%9e%90%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-9%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc5d0 9\uc6d4 Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654, \uc8fc\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138 \uc720\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \ud68c\uc758\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74\uc11c \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 1%\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub294 \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\ub294 1.3350 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70 1.3354\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA)\uc740 1.3399\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud558\uace0, \uc778\uadfc SMA \uad70\uc9d1\uc740 1.3409 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ub834\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\uace0, \uc55e\uc120 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub3c4 \uc218\uc815\ub418\uba70 4~5\uc6d4 \ud569\uc0b0 -7\ub9cc4,000\uac1c\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ub294 10\uc6d4 \uc870\uce58 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 4\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c \uac74\uc218\ub294 21\ub9cc5,000\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 21\ub9cc9,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uacfc 7\uc6d4 14\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c, ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc601\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 6\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub410\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 49.3\uc5d0\uc11c 48.8\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ubb38\uc740 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc789\uae00\ub79c\ub4dc\uc740\ud589(BOE) \uc5f0\uc124\uacfc \uae08\uc735\uc548\uc815\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 2026\ub144 Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 46%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 BOE \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 70%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 1.3520 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc800\ud56d\uc120, RSI(14) \uc57d 53, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 1.3159 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\uc57d\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 9\uc6d4 Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 NFP\ub294 15\ub9cc \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 18\ub9cc \uba85\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub41c \uc218\uc815\uce58\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc9c1\uc804 \ub450 \ub2ec(4~5\uc6d4) \uc21c\uac10\uc774 7\ub9cc4,000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub3c4 4.0%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 Fed\uac00 \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0(\uc77c\uc2dc \uc815\uc9c0)\u2019\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6b0\ub9ac \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 7\uc6d4 14\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\ub85c \uc644\uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 9\uc6d4 Fed \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uae09\ubd80\uc0c1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc73c\ub85c, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub3c4\ub798\ud558\ub294 GBP\/USD \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc640 \ub9cc\uae30\ub97c \uac00\uc9c4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc2dc\uac01 \ucc28\uc774, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n

\uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uac70\uc2dc \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b8 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \ud6e8\uc52c \ucde8\uc57d\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 48.8\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc704\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uace0, \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubd84\uae30 GDP\ub294 0.1% \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba70 \ubbf8\uc57d\ud55c \ud655\uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc 4.2%\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub192\uc544, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 BOE \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 70%\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubc30\uacbd\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\uc640 \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 GBP\/USD\uac00 1.3400 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ucd5c\uadfc \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ucde8\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \u2018\ub728\uac81\uac8c\u2019 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \ub418\ubc00\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc57d\uc138(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. 1.3200 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud558\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \ube60\ub978 \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba85\ud655\ud574\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc774 \ud14c\ub9c8\ub97c \ub354 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc601\uad6d \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 SONIA \ubc0f SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uacfc \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uad6c\ud604\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec, \u7f8e \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\ub85c 9\uc6d4 Fed \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud558\uba70 \uc8fc\uac04 1%\ub300 \uac15\uc138. 1.34 \uc800\ud56d\u00b7BOE \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \uc18d 7\/14 \u7f8e CPI\uac00 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uacb0\uc815, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50326,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50854"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50854\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50326"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}