{"id":50838,"date":"2026-07-03T19:57:43","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T19:57:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T19:57:43","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T19:57:43","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \uc57d\ud654\u2026\uae08\uac12, 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc2dc\ub3c4"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 1\ud2b8\ub85c\uc774\uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ud2c0\uac04 \uc57d 200\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uace0 2\ubd84\uae30 \uae09\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 5\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 14% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 13\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \ubd84\uae30 \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\uace0, \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 7%\uac00 \uc870\uae08 \ub118\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \uc644\ud654 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac15\ud654\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984 \uc790\uccb4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c\uc758 \uce74\ub974\uc2a4\ud150 \ud504\ub9ac\uce58(Carsten Fritsch)\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744, \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ud654\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \uc774\uc804 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \u2018\uc870\uc815\uc801(\uad50\uc815\uc801) \ubc18\ub4f1\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub610\ud55c 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\uba70, \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud615\uc131 \uacfc\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ubc1c\ud589\uc0ac\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uae30\uc0ac\uac00 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc791\uc131\ub410\uace0, \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uc758 \uac80\ud1a0\ub97c \uac70\ucce4\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Recent Drivers and Market Sentiment<\/h3>\n

\uae08\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc911\uc774\uba70, \uc794\ud639\ud588\ub358 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc18\uac00\uc6b4 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uacfc\uc7a5\ub41c \ud22c\ub9e4 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc870\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \ubc18\ub4dc\uc2dc \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uac15\uc138\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd09\ub9e4\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub85c, \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(Non-Farm Payrolls)\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 22\ub9cc\uba85\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 15\ub9cc\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc57d\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ud234\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 7\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ud655\ub960\uc740 75%\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac 40%\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud55c, \uae08\uc758 \ud558\ubc29\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d \uae30\uac04\uc774 \uc9e7\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uacac\uace0\ud55c \ubc14\ub2e5\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac00\uaca9\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub3fc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc14\ub2e5 \ub2e4\uc9c0\uae30 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac04 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u2019(hawkish)\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c, \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub77d\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2\ubd84\uae30 14% \ud558\ub77d\uc740 2013\ub144 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc545\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc774\uba70, \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc6d0\uc778\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub54c\uc640 \ub9c8\ucc2c\uac00\uc9c0\ub85c, \uc55e\uc120 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uac00\ud314\ub790\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud328\ub2c9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc9c0\ub098\uac14\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Trading Strategies and Risk Management<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub418\uba74, \ud22c\ub9e4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub358 \uae08 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8\ub97c \uc704\ud574 8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud604\uae08\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(cash-secured puts) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud68c\ubcf5\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c(definded-risk) \uc804\ub7b5\uc778 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spreads)\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 8\uc6d4 \uc6d4\ubb3c \ub9cc\uae30 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 4,150\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc811\uadfc\uc740 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub418, \uc7a0\uc7ac \uc218\uc775\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ud328\ub2c9 \ub05d?\u201d \uae08\uac12 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\ub3c4\uc804, \uc774\ud2c0 \uc0c8 200\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\u20262\ubd84\uae30 14% \uae09\ub77d \ub4a4 5\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9. \uace0\uc6a9\ub454\ud654\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\u2193, 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7\ubc14\ub2e5\ub860.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50396,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50838","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50838"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50838\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}