{"id":50837,"date":"2026-07-03T19:29:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T19:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T19:29:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T19:29:02","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 0.13% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 1.4200\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba70 \ud658\uc728\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 5\ub9cc7000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(11\ub9cc\uba85)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, 5\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 17\ub9cc2000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 12\ub9cc9000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 63%\uc5d0\uc11c 53%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uace0, 12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 76.8%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74(terms of trade) \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc774 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654\uc801) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 S&amp;P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 5\uc6d4 52.9\uc5d0\uc11c 6\uc6d4 53.0\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 \u2018\ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc548\uc815\ud654\u2019\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc73c\ub85c, \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 1% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc774\uba70 \uc99d\uac00\ubd84\uc740 \uc815\uaddc\uc9c1 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uacbd\uae30 \ubc0f BoC \uc815\ucc45 \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 USD\/CAD\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0<\/h3>\n<p>\ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud63c\uc7ac\ub41c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c USD\/CAD \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc870\uc131\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \ud55c \ubc88\uc758 \ub454\ud654\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ucde8\uc57d\uc131\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ucabd\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucabd\uc774 \u2018\uac00\uc7a5 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \uacbd\ub85c(path of least resistance)\u2019\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub8e8\ub2c8(\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc758 \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc EIA \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 WTI \uc6d0\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 72\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\uba70, BoC\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc720\uc9c0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 2015\ub144\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 USD\/CAD\uac00 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 1.4500\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc7a6\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc591\uad6d \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. BoC\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 6\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub85c \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uac1c\uc2dc\ud574 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.50%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 Fed \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 5%\ub97c \ud655\uace0\ud788 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ubcf4\uc720 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b0\uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc804\ub9dd \ubc0f \uc804\ub7b5: USD\/CAD \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574 9\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 USD\/CAD \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 1.4400\uc120\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc774\ub3d9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc9c0\uae09\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub3fc \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \ubc18\uc804\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc870\uc815(\ud558\ub77d)\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uadf8\ub7ec\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc9c4\uc785 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\u2019\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub8e8\ub2c8 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub2e4 \ub36e\uc5c8\ub2e4: USD\/CAD 1.4200\uc120 \uc0c1\uc2b9. \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\u00b7BoC \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\ub85c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc6b0\uc704, 1.4400 \uaca8\ub0e5 OTM \ucf5c \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50837","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50837","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50837"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50837\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50109"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}