{"id":50829,"date":"2026-07-03T17:00:34","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T17:00:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T17:00:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T17:00:34","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 EUR\/USD \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4, 1.1500 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc8fc\uc2dc"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ud2c0 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc 1.1475\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud55c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc740 5\ub9cc7\ucc9c\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(11\ub9cc\uba85)\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, 5\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub3c4 17\ub9cc2\ucc9c\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 12\ub9cc9\ucc9c\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 1.1455 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubc14\uc774\uc5b4\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\ub098, 1.1475~1.1500 \uad6c\uac04 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 HCOB \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI \ud655\uc815\uce58\ub294 48.9\uc5d0\uc11c 49.4\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub418\uba70, \uc885\ud569 PMI\ub294 49.5\uc5d0\uc11c 50\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 RSI(14)\uac00 60\ub300 \ucd08\ubc18, MACD\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc73c\ub098 1.1500 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 6\uc6d4\uc758 \uc774\uc804 \uc800\uc810\uacfc 38.2% \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\ub294 \uc601\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc 1.1620\uc774 \uac00\uc2dc\uad8c\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\uba70, \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 1.1360\uacfc 1.1333, \uadf8 \uc544\ub798\ub85c\ub294 1.1210\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc640 \ubcc0\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dd\ud788\ub294 \ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 5\ub9cc7\ucc9c\uba85\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \ud3ed\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub418 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 EUR\/USD\uc758 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud574\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 CME FedWatch \ud234 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc74c FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 40% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubd88\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 70%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacbd\uacc4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc758 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801(\ud14c\uc77c\uc708\ub4dc) \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc804\uc220\uc801 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc811\uadfc\uacfc \ud575\uc2ec \ub808\ubca8<\/h3>\n

1.1500 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uc21c \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \ub3cc\ud30c \ucd94\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc0c1\ub2e8 \ucea1)\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \ub54c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc804\ub7b5, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 1.1450 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 1.1500 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74, \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub418 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud790 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \uc81c\uac70\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ubbc0\ub85c, 1.1360 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58(\uc138\ud0c0) \uac10\uc18c\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uac70\ub098 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 \ub300\ube44 40% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ud68c\ud55c NFP \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud1b5\uc0c1 2~4\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 1.1475~1.1500 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud575\uc2ec \ud310\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub6ab\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \ub418\ubc00\ub9b4 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubcf4\uc720 \uc911\uc778 \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\ub9ac(\ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\uc775\uc808 \ub4f1)\ud560 \ubc29\uce68\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ucda9\uaca9 NFP\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 \uae09\ub7ad, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud6c4\ud1f4\ub85c EUR\/USD \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \uc0c1\uc2b9. \ub2e4\ub9cc 1.1475~1.1500 \uc800\ud56d\uc5d0 \ub9c9\ud600 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uac15\uc138. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc 1.1620, \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 1.1360.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50829","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50829","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50829"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50829\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50829"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50829"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50829"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}