{"id":50818,"date":"2026-07-03T13:28:57","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T13:28:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T13:28:57","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T13:28:57","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%eb%82%ae%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \uae08\uac12 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3cc\ud30c\u2026TD, 4,280\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubaa9\ud45c\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc774 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 2026\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\ub3c4 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4. TD\uc2dc\ud050\ub9ac\ud2f0\uc988\ub294 \uae08\uc774 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,050~4,126\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704\uac00 \ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc740\ud589\uc740 \ud604\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,280\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>TD\uc2dc\ud050\ub9ac\ud2f0\uc988\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uba70, \uc870\uae30 Fed \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub17c\uc758 \ub300\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098 \uc788\ub294 \ud55c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\ub85c\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ub77d(\ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. \ub354 \uae34 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 5,300\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\uac00\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c \ub2ec\uc131\uc744 \ub0b4\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 \ub0ae\uace0 \uac10\uc18c \ucd94\uc138\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\ub3c4 \uc81c\uae30\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc5ed\ud560<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc81c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uae08\uc740 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \u2018\uc0c1\ud5a5\ub41c\u2019 \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,280\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub3fc, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uacac\ud574\ub294 \uc774\ub0a0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(Non-Farm Payrolls) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 14\ub9cc5,000\uac1c\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub9cc \ucd94\uac00\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc774\ud6c4 CME FedWatch Tool \uae30\uc900 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 15% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \u2018\uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\u2019 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub294 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc18d \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c TD\uc2dc\ud050\ub9ac\ud2f0\uc988\ub294 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,280\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud574 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 8\uc6d4\ubb3c 4,150\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0, 8\uc6d4\ubb3c 4,280\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uc870\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc5d0 \ub178\ucd9c\ub418\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud55c\uc815\ud558\uace0, \uac70\ub798 \ucd1d\ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud655\uc2e0\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900 \ubd80\uadfc \ub610\ub294 \uc57d\uac04 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud604\uae08\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(cash-secured puts) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 8\uc6d4\ubb3c 3,880\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c(\uc138\ud0c0)\uc640 \uae09\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba70 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub354 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub0b4\ub144\uc758 \uc774\uc57c\uae30\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CPI \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 3.4%\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. WTI \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 88\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4, EIA \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc7ac\uace0\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 5\ub144 \ud3c9\uade0 \ub300\ube44 10% \ub0ae\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc794\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \u2018\uacb0\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\u2019 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc81c\uc57d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 2023~2024\ub144 \uae30\uac04\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ub3c4 \ub0b4\ub1a8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uae08\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uc885\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc99d\uac70\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba70 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04 \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud588\uace0, \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(pivot)\uc774 \ubd84\uba85\ud574\uc9c4 \ub4a4 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ub808\uc778\uc9c0) \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc811\uadfc\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uace0\uc6a9 \ubd80\uc9c4\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 Fed \uae34\ucd95 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc644\ud654\u2026\uae08, \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3cc\ud30c. TD \u201c4,050~4,126 \uc800\ud56d \ub3cc\ud30c\ub85c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc0c1\ud5a5\u201d 4,280 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubaa9\ud45c, 3,900 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7\uc7a5\uae30 5,300 \uc720\uc9c0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50192,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50818","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50818","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50818"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50818\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50818"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50818"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50818"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}