{"id":50805,"date":"2026-07-03T10:27:55","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T10:27:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9b%b0%ec%8a%a4%ed%8c%8c%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-6%ec%9b%94-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d%ec%84%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T10:27:55","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T10:27:55","slug":"%ec%9b%b0%ec%8a%a4%ed%8c%8c%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-6%ec%9b%94-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d%ec%84%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9b%b0%ec%8a%a4%ed%8c%8c%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-6%ec%9b%94-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d%ec%84%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0 \u201c\uc5f0\uc900, \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc804\ub9dd\u2026 6\uc6d4 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc11c \u2018\ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\u2019 \uc804\ud658 \uc2e0\ud638 \uc8fc\ubaa9\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, 6\uc6d4 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 \u2018\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\u2019\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc7ac\uac1c\u2019\ub85c \uac08\ub77c\uc9c4 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub97c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc790\ub8cc\ub85c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ubd84\uc11d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc7ac\ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud574\uc11d\ud558\ub294\uc9c0, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5 \uccb4\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uac00 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc815\ucc45 \ubc18\uc751\ud568\uc218(reaction function)\uac00 \ub354 \uc77d\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \ucc3e\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc5d0\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \u2018\uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\u2019\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294\uc9c0, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uae30\uc5ec\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294\uc9c0 \ub4f1\uc774 \ub2f4\uae38 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0\uc758 \ubd84\uc11d\ud2c0\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc758 \uc8fc \uc6d0\uc778\uc744 \uacf5\uae09 \uce21 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ub450\uba70, \uad00\uc138\uc640 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc810\ucc28 \uc18c\uba78\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc9d5\ud6c4\uac00 \uc5c6\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba74\uc11c \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \u2018\ub300\uae30(hold)\u2019 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 vs. \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825 \ud3c9\uac00<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 6\uc6d4 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uba70, \uc758\uacac\uc774 \uac08\ub9b0 \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub824 \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub17c\uc7c1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uadf8\uac83\uc774 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \uacfc\uc5f4\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uad00\uc138\ub098 \uacfc\uac70 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1 \uac19\uc740 \uacf5\uae09 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 5\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 2.8%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \uc18c\ud3ed \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uae30\uc800 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\ub3c4 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uacac\ud574\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. WTI \uc6d0\uc720\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc57d 78\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298 \uc544\uce68 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc5ed\uc2dc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc9d5\ud6c4\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0, \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 19\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \u2018\uc911\uac04 \uc815\ub3c4\u2019\uc758 \uc99d\uac00\ud3ed\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ud604 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \ucde8\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uae08\ub9ac \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, \uacf5\uac1c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \u2018\uae09\uaca9\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub2e8\uae30\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60\u2019 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \u2018\uc815\ucc45 \ube44\ud65c\ub3d9(inaction)\u2019 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc20f \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(short straddles), \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(iron condors) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc218\uc775\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 2020\ub144\ub300 \ucd08 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801(transitory)\u2019 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub17c\uc7c1\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud575\uc2ec \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2f9\uc2dc\ucc98\ub7fc \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uc218\ub294 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uadf8\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub418\ub294 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uacf5\ud3ec\u2019\ub294 \ub418\ub808 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294(\ud398\uc774\ub4dc) \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5ec\ub984 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures) \uc635\uc158 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ud55c \uc904\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5 \ubc14\ub014\uae4c?\u201d \uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d 6\uc6d4 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac08\ub9bc\uae38\u00b7\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc131 \ud310\ub2e8 \ub2e8\uc11c\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50111,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50805","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50805"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50805\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50111"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50805"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50805"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50805"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}