{"id":50795,"date":"2026-07-03T08:57:52","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T08:57:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T08:57:52","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T08:57:52","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08\uac12 \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c4 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc99d\uc2dc\uc640 \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uae30\ub150\uc77c \ud734\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0, \uacbd\uc81c \uc77c\uc815\ub3c4 \ud55c\uc0b0\ud588\ub2e4. \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc740 5\ub9cc7\ucc9c\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(11\ub9cc\uba85)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uce58\ub3c4 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4\uc740 3\ub9cc1\ucc9c\uba85, 5\uc6d4\uc740 4\ub9cc3\ucc9c\uba85 \uac01\uac01 \uac10\uc18c\ud574 \ub450 \ub2ec \ud569\uc0b0 \uae30\uc900 \uc885\uc804 \ucd94\uc815\uce58 \ub300\ube44 7\ub9cc4\ucc9c\uba85 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.2%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub178\ub3d9\ucc38\uc5ec\uc728\uc740 61.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 61.5%\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 2\uc8fc \uc800\uc810\uc778 100.50\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9b0 \ub4a4 \uc548\uc815\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ub978 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0\ub294 100.60 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 0.2% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \uae30\uc900 7\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 17%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uc57d 30% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uae34\ucd95 \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\uad6d \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c\ub294 6% \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2db\ucf00\uc774225\uc640 \ud64d\ucf69 \ud56d\uc14d\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ubaa8\ub450 1% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc57d 1% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ub370 \uc774\uc5b4 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ucd08\ubc18\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc57d 0.25% \ub0b4\ub824 160.75 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 0.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 1.1450\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 1.3350 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 1% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 1% \ub118\uac8c \uc62c\ub77c \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc8fc\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc740 \uc57d 2%\ub85c 4\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c8\uac10\ud560 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \ud568\uc758<\/h3>\n

2026\ub144 7\uc6d4 3\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uc774\ubc88 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ud310\ub3c4\ub97c \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub2ec \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uace0, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 30%\uc5d0\uc11c 17%\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ud14c\ub9c8\ub77c\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 EUR\/USD, GBP\/USD \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 100.60 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4)\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u2018\ub098\uc05c \ub274\uc2a4\uac00 \uc88b\uc740 \ub274\uc2a4\u2019\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 S&P 500 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b \ud06c\ub808\ub527 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uac70\ub098 \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub178\ub3d9\ucc38\uc5ec\uc728, \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc804\ub9dd, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uae08\uc758 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \uc138\ubd80 \ub0b4\uc6a9 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud2b9\ud788 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\ub294 \ubd80\ubd84\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\ucc38\uc5ec\uc728\uc774 61.5%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \ucc38\uc5ec\uc728 \ud558\ub77d\uc740, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uac04\uacfc\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. 2008\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uad6d\uba74 \ub4f1 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc728\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uac1c\uc120\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uae08\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ud558\ud5a5\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\uac8c \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c(GC) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub04a\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 Fed 7\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 30%\u219217% \uae09\ub77d, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 2\uc8fc \uc800\uc810. \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \ub7a0\ub9ac\u00b7\uc6d0\/\uc5d4 \uac15\uc138, \uc720\ub85c\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc0c1\uc2b9. \uae08 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\ub3c4\uc804. \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50795\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50109"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}