{"id":50771,"date":"2026-07-03T03:28:48","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T03:28:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T03:28:48","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T03:28:48","slug":"%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc, \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \uc81c\ud55c\u2026\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 GBP\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c 7\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc778 1.3200 \uc548\ud30e\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ub0b8 \ub4a4 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \ubc34\ub4dc \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc744 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc601\uad6d \ub0b4 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub410\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc774 11\ub9cc\uba85 \uc548\ud30e\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3c4\ub294 5\ub9cc7,000\uba85\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\uace0, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc6b0\ub824\ub3c4 \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc81c\uc57d \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ud0a4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uba38 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uac00 6\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc0ac\uc784\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9 \ub300\ud45c \uacbd\uc120\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub410\uace0, \uc564\ub514 \ubc88\ud584\uc774 \uc720\ub825 \uc8fc\uc790\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc7ac\uc815 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc640 \uae38\ud2b8\ucc44\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BOE)\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(MPC) \ub0b4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubd84\uc5f4(\uc758\uacac \ucc28\uc774) \uc18d\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 7\uc6d4 30\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 15:00 GMT \uc608\uc815\ub41c BOE \ucd1d\uc7ac \uc5f0\uc124\uc774 \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc77c\uc815\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc73c\ub85c, \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 14:00 GMT ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uc9c0\uc218, \uc218\uc694\uc77c 18:00 GMT FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d, \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uae30\ub150\uc77c\ub85c \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ud734\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 50\uc77c EMA\uac00 1.3350 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c, 200\uc77c EMA\uac00 1.3400 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 1.3450\uacfc 1.3500\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 1.3300 \uc774\ud6c4 1.3200\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud558\ub2e8 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 1.3150\uacfc 1.3100\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uacac\uc778<\/h3>\n<p>\uc624\ub298(2026\ub144 7\uc6d4 3\uc77c) \uae30\uc900 \ucd5c\uadfc GBP\/USD \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac15\uc138\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801 \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 5\ub9cc7,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba70 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ud68c\ud558\uc790, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \uae30\uc900 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 30% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \ubd88\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 60%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\uce58 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc5d0 \u2018\uc0c1\ub2e8 \ucea1(ceiling)\u2019\uc744 \uc50c\uc6b0\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc778 \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9 \ub300\ud45c \uacbd\uc120\uc740 2022\ub144 \u2018\ubbf8\ub2c8\uc608\uc0b0\u2019 \uc0ac\ud0dc \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud63c\ub780\uc744 \uc0c1\uae30\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc564\ub514 \ubc88\ud584\uc774 \uc7ac\uc815 \uaddc\uc728\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ucda9\uc7ac\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd99\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uac70\ub798\uc640 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1.3200~1.3400\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc815\uce58\u00b7\uacbd\uc81c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc73c\ub85c GBP\/USD 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc57d 9.5% \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \uc20f \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(Short Strangle)\uc774\ub098 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\uc5b4(Iron Condor) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uac70\ub098, \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uc9c0\uc218\uc640 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ub4f1 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uac00 \ub300\uac70 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc5b4, \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uade0\ud615\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \uae68\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc81c\ud55c\uc190\uc2e4(Defined-risk) \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \ubcd1\ud589 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc5f0\uc7a5\uc744 \ub178\ub9b0\ub2e4\uba74 1.3400 \uc800\ud56d\ub300 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(Call Spread) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c, \ubc18\ub300\ub85c 1.3200 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4\uba74 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(Put Spread) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc800\ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4(\uc601\uad6d)\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc740 7\uc6d4 30\uc77c BOE\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc720\uc77c\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uba54\ub9ac\ud2b8\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \ubd80\ubd84 \ubc84\ud300\ubaa9 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud574\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uba70 \uadf8 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654(Policy divergence)\uac00 \uc810\ucc28 \ud750\ub824\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uac08\uc218\ub85d \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \u2018\ub3d9\ud589\u2019\ud558\ub294 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c4\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec, 1.3200 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc9c0\ud0a4\uba70 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \u2018\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2019\uac00 \ub3d9\ub825. \ubbf8 NFP \uc1fc\ud06c\ub85c Fed \uae34\ucd95 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc644\ud654. \u82f1 \uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c, 1.3200~1.3400 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50128,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50771"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50771\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50128"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}