{"id":50735,"date":"2026-07-02T17:27:56","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T17:27:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%bc%eb%a6%ac-ai-%ed%98%b8%ec%9e%ac%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T17:27:56","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T17:27:56","slug":"%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%bc%eb%a6%ac-ai-%ed%98%b8%ec%9e%ac%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%bc%eb%a6%ac-ai-%ed%98%b8%ec%9e%ac%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub370\uc77c\ub9ac \u201cAI \ud638\uc7ac\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc644\ud654\u201d\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uc2e0\uc911 \uae30\uc870 \uc18d \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \u2018\ud0c4\ud0c4\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc2a4\ud398\uc778 \uc0b0\ud0c4\ub370\ub974\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \uc2a4\ud398\uc778\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(Banco de Espa\u00f1a) \ucf58\ud37c\ub7f0\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc124\ud55c \uba54\ub9ac \ub370\uc77c\ub9ac \uc0cc\ud504\ub780\uc2dc\uc2a4\ucf54 \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud0c4\ub825\uc131\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9d5\ud6c4\ub294 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \u201c\ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud55c(exceedingly strong)\u201d \ud22c\uc790 \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub41c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \u201c\uc57d\uac04 \uae34\ucd95\uc801(slightly restrictive)\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub370\uc77c\ub9ac\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uad00\uc138\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9 \ud0d3\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0 \uc8fc\uac70\ube44 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\ub3c4 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ud574\uc18c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc640 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc77c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub370\uc77c\ub9ac\ub294 \u201cAI \ud22c\uc790 \ucda9\uaca9(AI investment shock)\u201d\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba70, \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uc774 \uc9c0\uc218\ud568\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc5ed\ud559\uc774 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub108\ubb34 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc81c\ub3d9\uc774 \uac78\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \ub108\ubb34 \ub290\ub9ac\uba74 \uad6d\ubbfc\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \u2018\uc591\ubc29\ud5a5(two-sided)\u2019 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc874\uc7ac\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub294 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 FXS \uc2a4\ud53c\uce58\ud2b8\ub798\ucee4 \uc810\uc218\ub294 6\/10\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ud3c9\uade0(5.7\/10)\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. FXS \uc5f0\uc900 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218(Fed Sentiment Index)\ub294 0.25\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 123.89\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uacbd\uc81c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \u2018\uad00\ub9dd(wait-and-see)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uade0\ud615\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub2e4\uc18c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \ud1a4\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub3fc \uc788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc2e0\uaddc \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc131\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uacfc\uc81c\ub85c, \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 2.9%\ub85c \u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky)\u2019 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ud3ed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubca0\ud305\uc740 \uc2dc\uae30\uc0c1\uc870\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5ec\ub984 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \u2018\ub5a0\ubc00\u2019 \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \uc57d\ud654\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uac74\uc804\ud55c \uc548\uc815\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\uc0c1 6\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc740 \uc57d 17\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uacac\uc870\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc790\uadf9\ud560 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uade0\ud615\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(iron condor)\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

AI \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc18d \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\n

\ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc740 AI\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 \uc81c\uace0\ub85c, \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud798\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS)\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ub2e4\uc694\uc18c\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131(multi-factor productivity)\uc774 \uc608\ube44\uce58 \uae30\uc900 0.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc2a4\uc651 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc720\uac00\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc694\uc778\ub3c4 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ub354\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc778\uadfc \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba70 WTI\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc720\ub3d9\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 ETF \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uace0\uc870 \ub610\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1(\uc2a4\ud30c\uc774\ud06c) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc9c0\ud45c \uc758\uc874(data-dependency)\uacfc \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uacf5\uc874\ud558\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 VIX \uc9c0\uc218 \uae30\ubc18 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc774 \ud2b9\ud788 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ucc28\uae30 FOMC\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc774\ub098 \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub192\uc544\ub3c4 \u7f8e\uacbd\uc81c \uacac\uc870\u201d \ub370\uc77c\ub9ac, \ud22c\uc790\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \u2018\uc57d\uac04 \uae34\ucd95\u2019 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc0ac. AI \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uc740 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc694\uc778. \uad00\ub9dd \uc18d \uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7\uc720\uac00\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, \uc635\uc158\u00b7VIX \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50201,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50735","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50735"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50735\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50201"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}