{"id":50732,"date":"2026-07-02T15:27:43","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T15:27:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-6%ec%9b%94-%ec%9e%84%ea%b8%88-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-3-5-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%c2%b7%ec%8b%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T15:27:43","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T15:27:43","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-6%ec%9b%94-%ec%9e%84%ea%b8%88-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-3-5-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%c2%b7%ec%8b%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-6%ec%9b%94-%ec%9e%84%ea%b8%88-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-3-5-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%c2%b7%ec%8b%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d 6\uc6d4 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 3.5% \uc720\uc9c0\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\ub300\u00b7\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc548\uc815 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 6\uc6d4 \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc784\uae08\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc640 \uc77c\uce58\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\uac74\ube44 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uac00 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc784\uae08 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560\uc9c0, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc774 \uc9c0\ud45c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc784\uae08 \ucd94\uc138\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984 \ubc0f \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc785\ub825\uac12\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ubc0f \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>6\uc6d4 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c 3.5%\ub85c \ub098\uc628 \uac83\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ud558\uace0\ub294 \uc788\uc73c\ub098 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ud6fc\uc190\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubcc0\uacbd\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba70, 9\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 40% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud574\uc18c\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub978\ubc14 \u2018\uc5f0\ucc29\ub959(soft landing)\u2019 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. VIX\uac00 \uc774\ub0a0 \uc624\uc804 18\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub098 \ud06c\ub808\ub527 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(credit spreads)\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \u201c\uc5ec\ub984 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\u201d\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. 2024~2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc774\ud6c4, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uc548\uc815 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ucd95\uc18c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c FOMC\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc555\ucd95\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \ub2e8\uae30 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uc640 \ub300\ube44\ub418\uba70, \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc744 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uac8c \ud560 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\u00b7\uacbd\uae30 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 6\uc6d4 \ud3c9\uade0\uc784\uae08 3.5%\u2191\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\u2026\uc778\uac74\ube44 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc644\ud654. Fed \uae08\ub9ac\ubcc0\uacbd \uc720\uc778 \uc81c\ud55c, 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 40% \uc720\uc9c0. \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7SOFR \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4, DXY \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ubbf8 6\uc6d4 \ud3c9\uade0\uc784\uae08 3.5%\u2191\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\u2026\uc778\uac74\ube44 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc644\ud654. 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Fed \uae08\ub9ac\ubcc0\uacbd \uc720\uc778 \uc81c\ud55c, 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 40% \uc720\uc9c0. \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7SOFR \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4, DXY \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218 \uc8fc\ubaa9.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-6%ec%9b%94-%ec%9e%84%ea%b8%88-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-3-5-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%c2%b7%ec%8b%9c\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-02T15:27:43+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-02T15:27:43+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ubbf8\uad6d 6\uc6d4 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 3.5% \uc720\uc9c0\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\ub300\u00b7\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc548\uc815 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\ubbf8 6\uc6d4 \ud3c9\uade0\uc784\uae08 3.5%\u2191\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\u2026\uc778\uac74\ube44 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc644\ud654. 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