{"id":50728,"date":"2026-07-02T14:27:51","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T14:27:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9b%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T14:27:51","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T14:27:51","slug":"6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9b%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9b%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uc6cc\uc2dc, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacbd\uacc4 \uac15\uc870\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 12:30 GMT \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(Nonfarm Payrolls)\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c 6\uac1c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ucd94\uc801\ud558\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc57d 101.00\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c 0.4% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 11\ub9cc\uba85 \uc99d\uac00(5\uc6d4 17\ub9cc2000\uba85 \ub300\ube44)\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \uc784\uae08\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%(\uc774\uc804 3.4%)\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uace0, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 0.3% \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \ub179\ucde8\ub85d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \u201c\ub108\ubb34 \ub192\ub2e4(too high)\u201d\uace0 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc81c\uacf5\uc5d0 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\uc874 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcc4\ub3c4\uc758 \uc5f0\uc124 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uadf8\uc758 FXS \uc2a4\ud53c\uce58\ud2b8\ub798\ucee4 \uc810\uc218\ub294 10\uc810 \ub9cc\uc810\uc5d0 5.6\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. FXS \uc5f0\uc900 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218(FXS Fed Sentiment Index)\ub294 0.00\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 123.64\ub85c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 100\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub178\ub3d9\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\uba70, \uc815\ucc45 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158\uc740 2% \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc640 \uc720\uc5f0\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc758\uc874\uc801 \uc811\uadfc\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud574 \uc804\uac1c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n—\n

\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc55e\ub454 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4<\/h3>\n

\ud575\uc2ec \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 DXY\uac00 101.00\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uba85\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1d\ud78c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ubc0f \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc758 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ubcc0\uace1\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ucd09\uac01\uc744 \uace4\ub450\uc138\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc138 \ub454\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd(11\ub9cc\uba85)\uacfc \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc758 \uc5f0\uac04 \uae30\uc900 \uac00\uc18d(3.5%) \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \u201c\ub108\ubb34 \ub192\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud55c \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \uc784\uae08 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc88c\uc6b0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc784\uae08\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub728\uac81\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ud68c\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uac15\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70 \uc774\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc0ac\uc804\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \u2018\ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc758\uc874\ud615\u2019 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uc5d0 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \ubbfc\uac10\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc790\uccb4 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\uc5b4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc758 \ubb38\ud131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 NFP \ucd94\uc815\uce58 \ub300\ube44 \uad34\ub9ac \ubc1c\uc0dd \uc2dc, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc784\uae08(\ud3c9\uade0 \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \uc784\uae08) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc774\ud0c8\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n—\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc640 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc811\uadfc<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74 5\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\ub294 3.6%\ub85c \u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky)\u2019 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(CME FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc77c \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uad73\ud788\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ubb3c\ub860 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 EUR\/USD\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \uad6c\uc131\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ub9de\ud788\ub824 \ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud574\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc558\ub358 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud588\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 NFP\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 DXY\uac00 \ub2e8\uc77c \uc138\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c 1% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub0b4\uc77c \uc784\uae08 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 significantly \ub354 \ub728\uac81\uac8c \ub098\uc62c \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc774\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc18d\ubcf4: NFP \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026DXY 101\uc120 0.4%\u2193. 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 11\ub9cc\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5 4.3% \uc804\ub9dd, \uc784\uae08 3.5% \u2018\uad00\uac74\u2019. \uc6cc\uc2dc \u201c\ubb3c\uac00 \ub108\ubb34 \ub192\ub2e4\u201d, \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc758\uc874 \uc18d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2191.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50728","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50728"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50728\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50728"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50728"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50728"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}