{"id":50713,"date":"2026-07-02T10:00:37","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T10:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%acusd-cad-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-1-4200-%eb%b6%80\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T10:00:37","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T10:00:37","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%acusd-cad-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-1-4200-%eb%b6%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%acusd-cad-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-1-4200-%eb%b6%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD\/CAD), \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 1.4200 \ubd80\uadfc \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc601\ud5a5"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CAD\ub294 1\uc8fc\uc77c \ub118\uac8c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1.4210 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 1.4200\uc120\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 12:30 GMT\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP)\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 5\uc6d4 17\ub9cc2000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ub41c 11\ub9cc\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \ud3c9\uade0 \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \uc784\uae08\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.5%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 0.3% \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 \uc2e0\ud2b8\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 ECB \ud3ec\ub7fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \u201c\uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub108\ubb34 \ub192\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba70 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ub3c4\ud558\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\ud589\ub41c \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uac04\uc811 \ud611\uc0c1 \uc9c4\uc804\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc21c(\u7d14) \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c\uad6d\uc778 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 20\uc77c EMA(1.4103) \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 RSI\ub294 77.7\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.4103 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ub418\uba70, \uc800\ud56d\uc740 1.4169~1.4248\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6c\uac04) \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uc790\ub9ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc 2025\ub144 4\uc6d4 1\uc77c \uace0\uc810\uc778 1.4415\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ub178\ucd9c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\n

Market Focus: US Nonfarm Payrolls and Policy Divergence<\/h3>\n

USD\/CAD\ub294 1.4200\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \u2018\uba54\uc778 \ucd09\ub9e4\u2019\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uace7 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP)\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ud615\uc131\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 11\ub9cc\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub418\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc790\uadf9\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc555\ubc15\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 2.8% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc880\ucc98\ub7fc \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc784\uae08 \uad00\ub828 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ub354\uc6b1 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c NFP\ub294 \uc885\uc885 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ube57\ub098\uac14\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 5\uc6d4\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 18\ub9cc5000\uba85 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 27\ub9cc2000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c \uc801\ud569\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e8\uc77c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4, \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uac04 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac \ud655\ub300\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc740 2024\ub144 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \u201c\ub108\ubb34 \ub192\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub8e8\ub2c8(\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub300\ud654 \uad6d\uba74 \uc18d\uc5d0 WTI\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c\uad6d\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc790\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc545\uc7ac\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 USD\/CAD\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uadfc\uac70\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\n

Technical View: Overbought Signals and Trading Strategy<\/h3>\n

\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c 1.4103 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 20\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 1.4415 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.4250 \uc774\uc0c1\uc778 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc790\ubcf8 \ud6a8\uc728\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc RSI\uac00 77\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ud655\uc7a5\ub410\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud604 \uc218\uc900 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ucd94\uaca9 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9b0 \ub4a4 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubd84\uc218\ub839\u201d USD\/CAD 1.42 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u2026\ubbf8 NFP \ub300\uae30 \uc18d \uc784\uae08 3.5%\uba74 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc7ac\ubd80\uc0c1. \uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ub8e8\ub2c8 \ubd80\ub2f4, \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 RSI \uacbd\uacc4 \uc18d 1.4415 \uc5f4\ub9b4\uae4c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50713"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50713\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}