{"id":50687,"date":"2026-07-02T03:51:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T03:51:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%98%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95adp-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T03:51:03","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T03:51:03","slug":"%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%98%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95adp-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%98%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95adp-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc601\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\uc815\u2026ADP \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uacbd\uacc4, \uc720\ub85c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 101.40\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ub192\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 6\uc6d4 53.3\uc73c\ub85c 5\uc6d4(54.0)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc778 50.0\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ubb38(New Orders)\uc740 56.0\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uae09\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218(Prices Paid Index)\ub294 82.1\uc5d0\uc11c 73.0\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \ud22c\uc785\ube44\uc6a9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4(\uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900). 6\uc6d4 ADP \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 9\ub9cc8,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 5\uc6d4(12\ub9cc2,000\uba85) \ub300\ube44 \ub454\ud654, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.3% \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud588\ub2e4. \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 2% \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\uc73c\ub098 7\uc6d4 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub0a0 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\ub3c4\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub300\ube44\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(EUR\/USD)\ub294 1.1380\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc5f0\uac04 HICP \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 6\uc6d4 2.8%\ub85c 5\uc6d4(3.2%)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(3.0%)\ub3c4 \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 HICP\ub294 2.6%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.4%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(GBP\/USD)\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc5f0\ub9d0\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d 3.2%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc774\ud6c4 1.3280\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4(USD\/JPY)\uc740 162.50\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD\/USD)\ub294 0.6890\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. WTI\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 68\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uae08\uc740 4,050\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n

\uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uacfc \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c ADP \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uacf5\uc2dd \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc774\ubc88 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \uad00\uac74\uc774\uba70, \uc0c1\u00b7\ud558\ubc29 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc774\ub4e0 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c NFP \ubc1c\ud45c\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 10\ub144\ubb3c \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 \uc77c\uc911 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\uc774 50% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uc9c4\ud589\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc640 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) \uac04 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354\uc6b1 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uba70 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 ECB\uac00 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8(\ud30c\uc6b0\uc988)\u2019 \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110\uc744 \ub0b4\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud558\ubc29\uc774 \ub354 \uc218\uc6d4\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. ECB\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba3c\uc800 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud55c \ub4a4 2024\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \uc0c1\uae30\ud558\uba70, \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uad34\ub9ac \uc7ac\ud604\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

USD\/JPY\ub294 162.50\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\uc740 \u2018\uc704\ud5d8 \uad6c\uac04\u2019\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\ucd08\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7fd\uace0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uae09\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131(\ud14c\uc77c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c)\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ) \uac1c\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 5\uc5d4 \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub358 \uc804\ub840\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) USD\/JPY \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd: \uc6d0\uc720\uc640 \uae08<\/h3>\n

\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c WTI \uc6d0\uc720\uc758 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\uc640 OPEC+ \uc99d\uc0b0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \u2018\uacf5\uae09 \uacfc\uc789\u2019 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 68\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub300 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, WTI \uc120\ubb3c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ucc3e\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 OPEC+\uac00 \uc99d\uc0b0 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9b0 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 3~5% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ub4e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\uc758 4,050\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uae08 \uac19\uc740 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. 2018\ub144 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\ucc98\ub7fc, \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \ucee4\ubc84\ub4dc\ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8\ub85c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \u2018\uc228\uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019? DXY 101.40 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c, \uc720\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub85c EUR\/USD \ud558\ubc29 \uc6b0\uc704. NFP \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\uc99d \uacbd\uacc4, \uc635\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \ud655\uc0b0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50687","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50687"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50687\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}