{"id":50679,"date":"2026-07-02T01:51:13","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T01:51:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85%eb%b6%80%eb%ac%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T01:51:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T01:51:13","slug":"%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85%eb%b6%80%eb%ac%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85%eb%b6%80%eb%ac%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc18d \ud63c\uc870\uc138 \u7f8e \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\uc811"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uae08\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 2%\uc5d0 \uc721\ubc15\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc73c\uba70, XAU\/USD\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc800\uc810 3,960\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4 4,083\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.18% \uc624\ub978 101.35\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4.465%\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 ADP \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 9\ub9cc8,000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c 5\uc6d4 12\ub9cc2,000\uba85\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 11\ub9cc3,000\uba85\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ucc4c\ub9b0\uc800 \ud574\uace0 \uac74\uc218\ub294 9\ub9cc7,006\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 4\ub9cc5,849\uac74\uc73c\ub85c 53% \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c, \uace0\uc6a9\uc8fc\ub4e4\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \uac10\uc6d0 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 44\ub9cc3,604\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 40% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 53.3\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uace0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ubd88\uc9c0\uc218(Prices Paid Index)\ub294 82.1\uc5d0\uc11c 73\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uc591\ud574\uac01\uc11c(MOU) \uccb4\uacb0\uacfc \ud568\uaed8, \uc774\ub780 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8 \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc 60\uc77c MOU \uc870\uac74 \ubc0f \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uad00\ub828 \ub3c4\ud558(Doha) \uc7ac\ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae08 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 11\ub9cc \uba85, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \uc804\uc6d4\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 4,220\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,280~4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\ub300\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uadf8 \uc704\ub85c 50\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) 4,425\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 3,941\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc774\ud6c4 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec, 3,886\ub2ec\ub7ec, 3,500\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc21c\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Volatility and Technical Outlook<\/h3>\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uace0\uacf5\ud589\uc9c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\uc740 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4 \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\ub2e4. \uc804\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c ADP\uc640 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc640 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub300\ube44\ub97c \uc774\ub8ec\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc73c\ub85c \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd08\uae30 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 9\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 11\ub9cc \uba85\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 CPI\uac00 3.5%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uace0\uc6a9 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ub09c\ucc98\ud55c \ucc98\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub193\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \ub9de\ud788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Trading Strategies and Central Bank Support<\/h3>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8 \uc544\ub798, 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \ub454 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(sell call spreads)\ub85c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc774 \uacac\uace0\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294(defined-risk) \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uac00\uaca9\uc774 6\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc778 3,941\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud55c \ube60\ub978 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218(buying put options)\ub97c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ub610\ub294 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc5f0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc801\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub77c\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uac04\uacfc\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4\uae08\ud611\ud68c(WGC)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 228\ud1a4\uc744 \ucd94\uac00 \ub9e4\uc785\ud558\uba70 \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \ucd95\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uc218\uc694\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ubc14\ub2e5\u2019\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544, \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uace0\uacf5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\uac12 2% \uae09\ub4f1, 4,083\ub2ec\ub7ec\u2026ADP\u00b7ISM \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 NFP \uacbd\uacc4\uac10 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\ud56d \ub6ab\ub9b4\uae4c, 3,941\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\ud0c8 \ub550 \uae09\ub77d \uc6b0\ub824.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50314,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50679","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50314"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}