{"id":50670,"date":"2026-07-01T23:21:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T23:21:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-2-%eb%aa%a9%ed%91%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%88%98-%ea%b0%95\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T23:21:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T23:21:02","slug":"%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-2-%eb%aa%a9%ed%91%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%88%98-%ea%b0%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-2-%eb%aa%a9%ed%91%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%88%98-%ea%b0%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc6cc\uc2dc, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc644\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c \uace0\uc218 \uac15\uc870\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"

ECB \uc2e0\ud2b8\ub77c \ud3ec\ub7fc\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \uc8fc \uc0ac\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uadf8\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\uba70, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ucd5c\uc6b0\uc120 \uacfc\uc81c\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544, \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\uc874 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\uace0, \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub410\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI)\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubcfc \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc704\uce58\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, AI\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc790\uadf9\ud560\uc9c0(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc801) \ud639\uc740 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud560\uc9c0(\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc801) \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc774\ub974\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uac70\ubc84\ub10c\uc2a4 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc131\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\uace0, \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c \ubc0f \uc815\ucc45 \ud234\ud0b7 \uc810\uac80\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc77c\uc815\ub300\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud575\uc2ec \uc815\ucc45\uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc1d\ud788\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c \uc870\uc815\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\uace0 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc18c\ud1b5\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ucd5c\uc6b0\uc120 \uacfc\uc81c\ub85c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 2.8%\ub85c 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\uc804 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \ub300\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, 9\uc6d4 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\ub294 13~16 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uc654\uace0, \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uba54\ub9ac\ud2b8\uac00 \ubd80\uac01\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, S&P 500 \uc9c0\uc218(SPX)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b9\ud788 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc758\uc9c0\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc720\ub7fd \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc774\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc5ec\ub984 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c UUP\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 ETF\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc14\uc2a4\ucf13 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uace0\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uacbd\uae30 \uc548\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\uace0\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub099\uad00\uc801 \uc2dc\uac01\uacfc \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ubc14\ub2e5\u2019 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 18\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \ub0ae\uc740 4.0%\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec, \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc911\ub9bd\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc7a5\uc138\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974 \uc804\ub7b5 \ub4f1\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc9c4\uc804\u201d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc6cc\uc2dc, 2% \ubcf5\uadc0 \ucd5c\uc6b0\uc120 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778. \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd \uc720\uc9c0, \uc815\ucc45 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019 \ubd80\uc7ac\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc81c\ud55c. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub3d9\uacb0 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 \uc9c0\uc18d. \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc720\ud6a8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50670","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50670"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50670\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50166"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50670"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}