{"id":50669,"date":"2026-07-01T22:51:08","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T22:51:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/eur-usd-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8nfp-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T22:51:08","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T22:51:08","slug":"eur-usd-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8nfp-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/eur-usd-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8nfp-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc6cc\uc2dc \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026NFP \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub099\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uace0 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc55e\uc11c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \ub9cc\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc800\uc810 1.1361\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 1.1387\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc138\uc158 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc57d 0.30% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud3ec\ub974\ud22c\uac08 \uc2e0\ud2b8\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 ECB \ud3ec\ub7fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 Fed\uac00 \uc120\uc81c\uc801 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4)\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc774\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8 \ubb3c\uac00\uc548\uc815 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 6\uc6d4 ADP \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc774 9\ub9cc8000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(11\ub9cc3000\uba85)\uacfc 5\uc6d4(12\ub9cc2000\uba85)\uc744 \ubaa8\ub450 \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 54\uc5d0\uc11c 53.3\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(54)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810 101.59\ub97c \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 101.34\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \uae30\uc900 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 67%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP)\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c ECB\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 \ub204\uadf8\ub7ec\uc84c\uace0, \ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2f4 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc ECB \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uade0\ud615\uc801\uc774\uba70 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc774 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, ECB\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ucde8\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 Fed \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc 6\uc6d4 ADP\uac00 \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9 9\ub9cc8000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\ub294 \ub4f1 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uacbc\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 Fed\uc758 \uacf5\uac1c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub0c9\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd08\uae30 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uacfc \uc57d\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c \uac04 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae34\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 Fed\uc758 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uae30\ub300\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub4ef\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uc758\ubbf8\uac00 \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucc38\uace0\ub85c Fed\uac00 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 2\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 Fed\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc815\ucc45 \uc815\ub2f9\uc131\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 67%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c Fed\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658(\ud53c\ubc97)\uc744 \uac15\uc81c\ud560 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub358 \uc7a5\uba74\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

NFP \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc18d \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\ub0b4\uc77c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0 \ub098\uc120\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 EUR\/USD \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. NFP\uac00 12\ub9cc\uba85 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc0c8\ub86d\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ucf1c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uae09\ub77d\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucd95\uc778 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc790\uccb4\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uae30 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud0c0\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 6\uc6d4 2.4%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 ECB\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138 \uc790\uccb4\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub46c\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub0b4\uc77c NFP\uac00 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc900\ub2e4\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc \ub2ec\ub7ec) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 2026\ub144 9\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 EUR\/USD \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 Fed\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud575\uc2ec \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \uc57d\ud55c \u7f8e\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud754\ub4e4\u2014EUR\/USD, \uc800\uc810 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 0.3%\u2193. \uc6cc\uc2dc \u201c\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc5c6\ub2e4\u201d \uc555\ubc15. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 67% \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00 \ub17c\uc7c1, \ub0b4\uc77c NFP \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50669","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50669","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50669"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50669\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50669"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50669"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50669"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}