{"id":50667,"date":"2026-07-01T21:51:59","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T21:51:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84-gdp-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94dbs-%eb%82%98%ec%9a%b0%ec%ba%90%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%83%89%ea%b0%81-%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T21:51:59","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T21:51:59","slug":"%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84-gdp-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94dbs-%eb%82%98%ec%9a%b0%ec%ba%90%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%83%89%ea%b0%81-%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84-gdp-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94dbs-%eb%82%98%ec%9a%b0%ec%ba%90%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%83%89%ea%b0%81-%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc778\ub3c4 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\uc138 \ub454\ud654\u2026DBS \ub098\uc6b0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2b8 \u201c\ucd94\uac00 \ub0c9\uac01\u201d \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uad00\ub9ac \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc778\ub3c4\uc758 \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP\ub294 1Q26(4QFY26)\uc5d0 \uc804\ub144\ub3d9\uae30\ub300\ube44 7.8% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 3QFY26(2025\ub144 10~12\uc6d4)\uc758 \uc218\uc815\uce58 8.0%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uac00\uc6a9 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ub2f9\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 DBS\uc758 \ub098\uc6b0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2b8(Nowcast) \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud574\ub2f9 \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 2Q26(1QFY27) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 6.9%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud654\ubb3c \ubb3c\ub3d9\ub7c9 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ub18d\uc5c5\uc6a9 \ud2b8\ub799\ud130 \ubc0f \uc0c1\uc6a9\ucc28 \ud310\ub9e4 \uac10\uc18c\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 2026\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc5ed\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \ud3c9\uade0 6.5%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 7.8%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacbd\uc81c \uc644\ub9cc\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ed\ud559<\/h3>\n

\uc778\ub3c4 \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 7.8%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba70 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc644\ub9cc\ud654\ub294 \ub9c9 \uc885\ub8cc\ub41c 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ed\ud559 \ubcc0\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub4ef 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\ube48\ub3c4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed\uc758 \uac10\uc18d\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uac74\uc804\uc131\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc778\ub3c4 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 6\uc6d4 57.5\ub85c, \uc5f0\ucd08 \ub300\ube44 \ub192\uc558\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uba70 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \ubc14\ub85c\ubbf8\ud130\ub85c \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\uc6a9\ucc28 \ud310\ub9e4 \ub454\ud654 \uad00\ub828 \ubcf4\uace0\uc640\ub3c4 \ub9e5\uc744 \uac19\uc774\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \ub300\uc751 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n

\uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ub2c8\ud504\ud2f050 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 2025\ub144 7.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 6.5%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc810\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc5ec\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc778\ub3c4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBI)\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc591\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uc5f0\ub0b4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub77d)\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 RBI\ub294 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc5f0\uc18d \ubd84\uae30 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uac70\uc2dc \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc778\ub3c4 \ub8e8\ud53c\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd98\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 2019\ub144\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uacfc\uac70 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \ucc38\uace0\ud558\uba70 USD\/INR\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \uad00\ucc30\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c, \uc778\ub3c4 VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \uce21\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 14\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub454\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \ub4f1\uc774 \uc810\ucc28 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc778\ub3c4 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 7.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654, DBS \ub098\uc6b0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 2Q 6.9%\u00b7\uc5f0\uac04 6.5% \uc804\ub9dd. PMI\u00b7\uc0c1\uc6a9\ucc28 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc5d0 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305\u00b7\ub8e8\ud53c \uc57d\uc138\u00b7VIX \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uae30\ud68c \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50222,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50667","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50667","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50667"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50667\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50222"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50667"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50667"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50667"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}