{"id":50663,"date":"2026-07-01T20:51:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T20:51:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T20:51:00","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T20:51:00","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub454\ud654\u2026\ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c \u201cECB, 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 6\uc6d4 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\ub3c4 2.4%\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \ubc0f \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 3% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc740\ud589\uc740 6\uc6d4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc804\uc6d4 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \u2018\ubd80\ubd84\uc801 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uba70, \uae30\uc800 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf4\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc18c\ud3ed \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9(\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c)\uc744 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc804\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uac04\uc811 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 9\uc6d4 ECB \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uc81c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae00\uc740 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc791\uc131\ub410\uace0 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uc758 \uac80\ud1a0\ub97c \uac70\ucce4\uc73c\uba70, FXStreet \uc778\uc0ac\uc774\ud2b8 \ud300 \uba85\uc758\ub85c \uac8c\uc7ac\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

ECB \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \uac83\uc740 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc644\ud654\uc77c \ubfd0, \uae30\uc800 \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \ubcf4\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 ECB \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c ECB\uac00 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub450 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. OIS(\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc651) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 70% \uc774\uc0c1 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc720\ub9ac\ubcf4(EURIBOR) \uc120\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825 \uc18d \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n

ECB\uc758 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. ZEW(\ub3c5\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uacbd\uc81c\uc5f0\uad6c\uc13c\ud130)\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uba70 \uc77c\uc815\ud55c \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uace0, \uc774\ub294 ECB\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uba85\ubd84\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc6b0\uc704 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub294 \ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc720\ub7fd \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud558\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c \uc720\ub85c \uc2a4\ud1a1\uc2a4 50 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 2022~2023\ub144 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uac8c \ub290\uaef4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ucd08\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ud658\ud638\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub048\uc801\ud55c \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \uc758\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud574\uc57c \ud588\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 2\ucc28 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ubb36\uc5b4\ub458 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654, \uc548\ub3c4\ub294 \uae08\ubb3c\u201d \uc720\ub85c\uc874 6\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\ub3c4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc804\uac00\ud6a8\uacfc\uc5d0 3%\ub300 \ub4f1\ub77d \uc804\ub9dd. OIS\ub294 9\uc6d4 ECB 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 70% \ubc18\uc601.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50199,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50663\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}