{"id":50662,"date":"2026-07-01T20:21:18","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T20:21:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9e%ac%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T20:21:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T20:21:18","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9e%ac%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9e%ac%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uae08\uac12 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uae08\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Kevin Warsh)\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c\ub2e4. XAU\/USD\ub294 4,097\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70, \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 7\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 3,941\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ub354 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud588\ub2e4. \ud3ec\ub974\ud22c\uac08 \uc2e0\ud2b8\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 ECB \ud3ec\ub7fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 \u201c\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud588\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. ADP\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 6\uc6d4 \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 9\ub9cc8\ucc9c \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58(11\ub9cc3\ucc9c \uba85)\uc640 5\uc6d4(12\ub9cc2\ucc9c \uba85)\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub3c4 54.0\uc5d0\uc11c 53.3\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(54.0)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\uc740 2013\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ubd84\uae30 \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 1\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810(\uc57d 5,600\ub2ec\ub7ec) \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 28% \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 67% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c 2\ub144 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc870\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ucda9\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(2%)\uc758 \ub450 \ubc30\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\uba74\uc11c \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\uace0, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\ub294 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 67%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e4\ubb3c \uc218\uc694\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. IBJA\ub294 \uc778\ub3c4 \uac00\uacc4\uac00 4~6\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uad6c\uae08(\u820a\u91d1) \uc57d 50\ud1a4\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 43% \uc99d\uac00\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc778\ub3c4\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uad00\uc138\ub97c 6%\uc5d0\uc11c 15%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c\ub294 20\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) 4,184\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 3,926\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc0f 3,800\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc800\ud56d\uc120 4,184.59\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b74,300\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc57d 4,442\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 40 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70 MACD\ub294 \uc74c(-)\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4\uae08\ud611\ud68c(WGC)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2022\ub144 \uac01\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc57d 700\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ub2f9\uc758 \uae08 1,136\ud1a4\uc744 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \uc18d \uae08 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ubc88 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc644\ud654\u201d \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \u20183\ubd84\uc758 2\u2019 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c(7\uc6d4 2\uc77c) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(NFP)\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub85c\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc9d1\uacc4\ud55c \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uae30\uc900 13\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uacf5\uace0\ud788 \ud558\uba70 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ud6e8\uc52c \uc57d\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\uc5d0 \uade0\uc5f4\uc744 \ub0b4\uba70 \uc774\ubc88 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc5f0\uc7a5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c 3,926\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. GVZ \uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \uce21\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uae08 \uc635\uc158 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 18.5\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ub418\uba74 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcf4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub358 3,800\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub354 \uc8fc\uc694\ud55c \ubc14\ub2e5\uc73c\ub85c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\uc220 \ubc0f \uac70\uc2dc \ub3d9\uc778<\/h3>\n

\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 4,184\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud5a5\ud55c \uc20f\ucee4\ubc84(\uc2a4\ud034\uc988)\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac19\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \u2018\ucd94\uaca9 \ub9e4\uc218\u2019\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c \ub418\ud30c\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac8c \ud558\uba70, \ubb34\uc81c\ud55c \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \ud53c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uadfc\ubcf8 \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ucf54\uc5b4 PCE\ub294 4.3%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2013\ub144 \u2018\ud14c\uc774\ud37c \ud150\ud2b8\ub7fc\u2019 \ub2f9\uc2dc\ucc98\ub7fc, \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30 \uac15\uc138\uc7a5 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae08\uc758 \uae09\ub77d\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud588\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ud558\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ub300\ud654\ub97c \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc9c1\uc811 \uc18c\ud1b5\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub192\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uae08, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\ud0c8\ud658\u2026\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 67%\uac00 \ubc1c\ubaa9. ADP\u00b7ISM \ubd80\uc9c4 \uc18d NFP\uac00 \ubd84\uc218\ub839. 3,926 \ubd95\uad34 \ub550 3,800 \uacbd\uacc4. \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ube44.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50257,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50662","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50662","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50662"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50662\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50257"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50662"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50662"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50662"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}