{"id":50588,"date":"2026-07-01T02:52:09","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T02:52:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-fed-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-1-14\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T02:52:09","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T02:52:09","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-fed-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-1-14","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-fed-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-1-14\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub85c\ud654, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 Fed \uae34\ucd95 \ubca0\ud305\uc5d0 1.14\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc11c \uc8fc\ucda4"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\uc73c\uba70 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1400 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9f4\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac70\ub798\ub294 1.1420\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub904\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub300\uc11c\uc591 \uc591\uce21\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc14\uafd4\ub193\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba70 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \ubc0f 2\ubd84\uae30\ub97c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.06% \uc624\ub978 101.17\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 Fed\uc758 \ucd1d 35bp \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud504\ub77c\uc784 \ud130\ubbf8\ub110(Prime Terminal)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc740 66%\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 16\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.75%~4.00% \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ub420 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ud655\ub960\uc774 82%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uad6c\uc778(job openings)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0, \ucee8\ud37c\ub7f0\uc2a4\ubcf4\ub4dc(Conference Board) \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9)\ub294 11\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.3%\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud504\ub791\uc2a4\u00b7\uc774\ud0c8\ub9ac\uc544\u00b7\ub3c5\uc77c\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ub2e8\uc77c\ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 ECB\uac00 25bp \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 60%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, 7\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc9c0<\/h3>\n

\uc720\ub85c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub3d9\ub825\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \ucc44 1.0650\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub97c \uc774\uc720\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 106.20\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 19\ub9cc5,000\uac1c\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac15\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae34\ucd95 \ub17c\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\ub294 18\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 3.9%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \u2018\uba48\ucd9c\u2019 \uc720\uc778\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\u2026ECB \uc555\ubc15 \uc644\ud654<\/h3>\n

\ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc740 ECB\uac00 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.4%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00\ub3c4 \uc644\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \uc810\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70, ECB\uc758 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138, EUR\/USD \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ub610\ub294 \ud558\ubc29\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ubd80\uac01\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0, EUR\/USD\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uc720\ub85c, \uc65c \ubabb \uc624\ub974\ub098?\u201d \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uac1c\uc120\uc5d0\ub3c4 Fed \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 vs ECB \uc2e0\uc911\ub860 \uaca9\ucc28\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc6b0\uc704. \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 EUR\/USD \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc88c\uc6b0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50588","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50588"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50588\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50109"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50588"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50588"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50588"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}