{"id":50571,"date":"2026-06-30T22:51:59","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T22:51:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-8%eb%a7%8c%eb%aa%85-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-fed\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T22:51:59","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T22:51:59","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-8%eb%a7%8c%eb%aa%85-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-8%eb%a7%8c%eb%aa%85-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c, 6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9 8\ub9cc\uba85 \uc804\ub9dd\u2026\uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\ub85c Fed \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc608\uc0c1"},"content":{"rendered":"

TD\uc99d\uad8c(TD Securities) \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c\ud300\uc740 6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc774 8\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbfc\uac04\ubd80\ubb38 5\ub9cc5,000\uba85, \uc815\ubd80\ubd80\ubb38 2\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub418\uba70, 2026\ub144 \uccab 5\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc911 4\uac1c\uc6d4\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c8 \uc774\ud6c4 \u2018\uc190\uc775\ubd84\uae30\uc810 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\u2019\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud558\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud558\uba70, \uc5f0\ucd08 \uace0\uc6a9 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc758\ub8cc\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 \ub3c4\u00b7\uc18c\ub9e4, \uc6b4\uc1a1\u00b7\uc720\ud2f8\ub9ac\ud2f0, \ub808\uc800\u00b7\uc811\uac1d\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc0b0\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub3c4\u00b7\uc18c\ub9e4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uace0 \ub808\uc800 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \ucc44\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\ub294 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.2%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc728\uc774 \ubbf8\ubc18\uc62c\ub9bc \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\uba70, \uacc4\uc808\uc694\uc778 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uce21\uc815 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \uad00\ub9dd(\ub3d9\uacb0) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc0f \ucc44\uc6a9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uba85\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub9cc \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \u2018\uc591\ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ucd08\uc758 \ucc44\uc6a9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub97c \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ub808\uc800\u00b7\uc811\uac1d \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub840\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 \uacc4\uc808\uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc218\uce58\ub97c \uc81c\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Implications for Federal Reserve Policy and Rates<\/h3>\n

6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc218\uc77c \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uac00\uc628 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ucc44\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\uac00 \uc57d 8\ub9cc \uba85 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uc99d\uac00\ud3ed\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uce58\uc774\uba70, \uc778\uad6c \uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \ub530\ub77c\uac00\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc190\uc775\ubd84\uae30\uc810(breakeven) \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub0c9\uac01\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uad00\ub9dd \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc57d\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubd84\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Reactions: FX, Equities, and Volatility<\/h3>\n

\ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac00\ud574\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud560 \ub54c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uac00 \uc989\uac01 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub098 \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 8\ub9cc \uba85 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \u201c\uc5f0\ucc29\ub959(soft landing)\u201d \uc11c\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4 \uc6b0\ub824 \ud655\ub300\ub85c \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \ubc14\uafd4\ub193\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 10\ub9cc \uba85\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc11\ub3c4\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \uacfc\uac70 \uacbd\uae30 \ud558\uac15\uc758 \uc120\ud589\uc9c0\ud45c\uc600\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, S&P500 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uadf8\uac04 \ud0c4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc84\ud168\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ucc44\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub192\uc544\uc838 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098 \uc0c1\u00b7\ud558\ubc29 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc774\ub4e0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c6\uc6d4 NFP 8\ub9cc\uba85\u201d TD\uc99d\uad8c, \uace0\uc6a9 \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc628 \ubcf5\uadc0\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.2% \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ub9dd. \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uac15\ud654, \uc57d\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c \ub550 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50201,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50571","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50571","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50571"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50571\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50201"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50571"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50571"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50571"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}