{"id":50568,"date":"2026-06-30T21:52:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T21:52:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/usd-cad-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-4%ec%9b%94-gdp%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%eb%a3%a8%eb%8b%88%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T21:52:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T21:52:15","slug":"usd-cad-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-4%ec%9b%94-gdp%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%eb%a3%a8%eb%8b%88%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/usd-cad-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-4%ec%9b%94-gdp%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%eb%a3%a8%eb%8b%88%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 4\uc6d4 GDP\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \ub8e8\ub2c8\ud654 \uac15\uc138\u2026\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CAD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubc18\ub0a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 4\uc6d4 GDP\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810 1.4247\uc744 \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 1.4203 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(Statistics Canada)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 4\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc740 3\uc6d4 0.1% \uac10\uc18c \uc774\ud6c4 0.5% \uc99d\uac00\ud574, 0.4% \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc99d\uac00\uc138\ub294 \uc7ac\ud654 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ubc0f \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc804\uccb4 20\uac1c \uc5c5\uc885 \uc911 14\uac1c \uc5c5\uc885\uc774 \ud655\uc7a5\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc18d\ubcf4\uce58(advance estimate)\ub294 \uc9c1\uc804 \ub450 \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \uc704\ucd95 \uc774\ud6c4 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 0.1% \uc131\uc7a5\ud588\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. <\/p>\n\n

\uc774\ubc88 GDP \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub294 \uc774\ub2ec \ucd08 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uac1c\uc120 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 4\uc6d4(2.8%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uace0, \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uc55e\uc120 1\ub9cc7700\uba85 \uac10\uc18c \uc774\ud6c4 8\ub9cc7800\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud588\ub2e4. USD\/CAD\ub294 2025\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ub41c \uc218\uc900 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub098\uc654\ub294\ub370, CME FedWatch\ub294 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 63%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ub3c4\ud558\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uc811\ucd09\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6c\uc778\u00b7\uc774\uc9c1(JOLTS) \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218\ub294 5\uc6d4 759\ub9cc4000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 730\ub9cc \uac74\uacfc 4\uc6d4 \uc218\uc815\uce58 758\ub9cc5000\uac74\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uacbd\uae30 \uac15\uc138 vs \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud568<\/h3>\n\n

\ucd5c\uadfc GDP \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c 4\uc6d4 0.5% \ud655\uc7a5\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba70 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.2%\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc810\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc5d0 \ud798\uc774 \uc2e4\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\ucd08 \uccb4\ub825\uc740 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ed\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.9%\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 72%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub192\uc774\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ud68c\uc640 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c<\/h3>\n\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 \ud798\uaca8\ub8e8\uae30\ub97c \ud615\uc131\ud558\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 USD\/CAD \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub4f1 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\uac00 \uc6b0\uc138\ud560\uc9c0 \uc608\uce21\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uacfc\uac70 2017\ub144\ucc98\ub7fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub358 \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc591\uce21 \ubaa8\ub450 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c, \uc9c0\uae08\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub974\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub300\ub7b5 1.4150~1.4300 \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \ud615\uc131\ub41c \uad6c\uac04\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud6a1\ubcf4\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c\uc640 \uac00\uaca9 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

7\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 CPI\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub450 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc911 \uc5b4\ub290 \ud558\ub098\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988(\uc0c1\ud68c \ub610\ub294 \ud558\ud68c)\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \ud604 \uad50\ucc29 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \uae68\ub294 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 USD\/CAD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uba70, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 GDP \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u201d\uc5d0 USD\/CAD \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84 \ubc18\ub0a9, 1.4247\u21921.4203. 4\uc6d4 GDP 0.5%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud68c, CAD \uac15\uc138. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c\u00b7JOLTS \ud638\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uae30\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50568","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50568"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50568\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}