{"id":50566,"date":"2026-06-30T21:21:08","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T21:21:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%b9%84%ec%9e%90%ec%8b%a0%eb%a2%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%80-%ec%95%85%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T21:21:08","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T21:21:08","slug":"6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%b9%84%ec%9e%90%ec%8b%a0%eb%a2%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%80-%ec%95%85%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/6%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%b9%84%ec%9e%90%ec%8b%a0%eb%a2%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%80-%ec%95%85%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uace0\uc6a9\uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc545\ud654, \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1 \ubd80\ucd94\uaca8"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 6\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4. \ucf58\ud37c\ub7f0\uc2a4\ubcf4\ub4dc(Conference Board)\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218(Consumer Confidence Index)\ub294 5\uc6d4 90.6\uc5d0\uc11c 91.2\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc55e\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub410\ub358 5\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 93.1\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uac1c\uc120\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ud654\ub41c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud604\uc7ac \uae30\uc5c5\uc5ec\uac74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3c9\uac00\ub294 5\uc6d4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2e4\uc18c \uacac\uc870\ud574\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc778\uc2dd\uc740 \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \u2018\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \uad6c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4(hard to get)\u2019\uace0 \ub2f5\ud55c \ube44\uc911\uc740 22.5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c 2021\ub144 1\uc6d4(22.8%)\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc73c\uba70, \uae30\uc5c5\uc5ec\uac74 \ubc0f \uc18c\ub4dd \uc804\ub9dd \uac1c\uc120\uc774 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc778\uc2dd\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654(USD)\uac00 \uc804\uc77c(\uc6d4\uc694\uc77c) \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uba70 101.40\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\ud654\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \ud568\uc758<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ud63c\uc870\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uae30\ucd08 \uccb4\ub825 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ucde8\uc57d\uc131\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \u2018\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \uad6c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\u2019\ub294 \uc751\ub2f5\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uc810\uc740 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uacbd\uace0 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub0c9\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc120\ud589\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub418\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2f9\uc0ac\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \uc57d\ud654\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 11\ub9cc\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub41c \ub370 \uc774\uc5b4, \uc774\ubc88 \uc18c\ube44\uc2ec\ub9ac \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc0c1\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc2e4\uc81c \uac00\uacc4(\ud604\uc7a5)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uccb4\uac10\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc744 \ub09c\ucc98\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uba70, \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc774\uc804 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub85c\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488, \ud2b9\ud788 \ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac(SOFR) \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4 \ubc0f 2027\ub144 3\uc6d4 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c SOFR \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d(\uc778\ud558) \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ud68c\uc640 \ud1b5\ud654(\ud658\uc728) \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 4\uc6d4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd5c\uadfc 75\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub354 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd9c \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud589\ubcf4\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud558\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2f9\uc0ac \uacac\ud574\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud398\uc5b4 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\ub85c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \ud544\uc218\uc18c\ube44\uc7ac(XLP) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uacbd\uae30\uc18c\ube44\uc7ac(XLY) \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \u2018\uc120\ud0dd\uc801 \uc9c0\ucd9c\u2019\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\ud544\uc218 \uc9c0\ucd9c\u2019\uc744 \uc6b0\uc120\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uac00\uc815\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\uc751\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub3fc \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(dovish)\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825(\uc5ed\ud48d)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574\uc654\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\ubc18\uc804)\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \u7f8e 6\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0 91.2\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \u2018\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uad6c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\u2019 22.5% \uae09\uc99d. \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc870\uae30 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\u00b7SOFR \uc635\uc158 \uae30\ud68c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uacbd\uace0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50197,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50566"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50566\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}