{"id":50565,"date":"2026-06-30T20:51:58","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T20:51:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-jolts-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T20:51:58","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T20:51:58","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-jolts-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-jolts-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \ubc18\ub4f1\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d JOLTS \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218, \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \uc0c1\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS) JOLTS(\uad6c\uc778\u00b7\uc774\uc9c1) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 5\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900 \uad6c\uc778\uac74\uc218\ub294 759\ub9cc4,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(730\ub9cc\uac74)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0, 4\uc6d4(758\ub9cc5,000\uac74)\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub3c4 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uae30\uc874 761\ub9cc8,000\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \ucd1d \uc774\uc9c1(Separations)\uc740 510\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0 \uc774\uc9c1\ub960\ub3c4 3.2%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \uc790\ubc1c\uc801 \ud1f4\uc9c1(Quits)\uc740 310\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\uc73c\uba70 \ube44\uc728\ub3c4 1.9%\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc790\ubc1c\uc801 \ud1f4\uc9c1\uc774 4,000\uac74 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ud574\uace0\u00b7\uba74\uc9c1(Layoffs and discharges)\uc740 170\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0 \ube44\uc728\uc740 1.1%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ub370 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc5c5\uc885\ubcc4\ub85c\ub294 \uc608\uc220\u00b7\uc624\ub77d\u00b7\ub808\ud06c\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc774\uc158(Arts, entertainment and recreation)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud574\uace0\u00b7\uba74\uc9c1\uc774 4\ub9cc2,000\uac74 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d \uc870\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 101.50\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 4\uc6d4 761\ub9cc\uac74 \ub300\ube44 730\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2025\ub144 \ud3c9\uade0\uc740 708\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 3\uc6d4 688\ub9cc\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 4.6% \uc6d4\uac04 \uc99d\uac00(73\ub9cc1,000\uac74 \ud655\ub300)\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc740 5\uc6d4 17\ub9cc2,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2ec FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 30%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\uace0, 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 60%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804\uc758 6% \ubc0f 20%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uc73c\uba70, 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 2.17% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub450 \ub2ec \ub204\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc57d 3% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 1.1325\uc640 1.1210\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120, 1.1500 \ubc0f 1.1620~1.1640\uc774 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud0c4\ub825\uc131\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

5\uc6d4 \uad6c\uc778\uac74\uc218\uac00 759\ub9cc4,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub41c \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc744 \uc77c\uc815 \ubd80\ubd84 \uac10\ub0b4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd9c \uba85\ubd84\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234 \uae30\uc900 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 60%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc810\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc8fc\ub294\ub370, 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%\ub85c \uace0\ucc29\ud654\ub41c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(FF) \uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \ud658\uc728 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 101.50\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc989\uac01 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc900\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc55e\ub454 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

7\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 14 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc14\uafc0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc7a6\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

EUR\/USD\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 1.1500 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \ub454\ud654\ub41c \uc131\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub298\ub9b4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uba70, \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 1.1325 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc6b0\uc704\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub77c\ub294 \ud070 \ud750\ub984\uacfc\ub3c4 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uad6c\uc778 \uae09\uc99d\u201d 5\uc6d4 JOLTS 759\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uacac\uc870 \ud655\uc778. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \ubc18\ub4f1, \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 60%\u2191. EUR\/USD \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc635\uc158 \uae30\ubc18 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50565","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50565","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50565"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50565\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}