{"id":50561,"date":"2026-06-30T19:50:56","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T19:50:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/6%ec%9b%94-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-pmi-56-7%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%b9%84\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T19:50:56","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T19:50:56","slug":"6%ec%9b%94-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-pmi-56-7%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%b9%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/6%ec%9b%94-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-pmi-56-7%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%b9%84\/","title":{"rendered":"6\uc6d4 \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 PMI 56.7\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ubbf8\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc804\ub9dd \ud655\uc0b0"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 PMI\ub294 6\uc6d4 56.7\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 58.1\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec, \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uae30\uc5c5 \uacbd\uc601 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3c8 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 2\ubd84\uae30 \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900 \ud65c\ub3d9 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60\uc9c0, \ud639\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ubc0f \uc5f0\uad00 \uc5c5\uc885 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ub0c9\uac01 \uc2e0\ud638\uc778\uc9c0\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

6\uc6d4 \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 PMI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \uacbd\uae30 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ub454\ud654\uc758 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. 56.7\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc218\uce58 \uc790\uccb4\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud655\uc7a5\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \ud558\ud68c\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc758 \ub0c9\uac01\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 3\ubd84\uae30 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \ubcf4\ud638(\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc0ac\uc774\ub4dc \ud504\ub85c\ud14d\uc158)\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. S&P 500 \ub610\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc139\ud130 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc804\uad6d \ub2e8\uc704 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ubb38(New Orders) \uad6c\uc131 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc774 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud55c\uce35 \uac15\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\uac00 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 14 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub358 VIX\uac00 18~20 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc704\ud574, \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc815\ucc45 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810 \ubc0f \ud1b5\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uacbd\uae30 \uc5f0\ud654\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\ucd98\ub2e4. \uc624\ud788\ub824 \ucd5c\uadfc \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2.5%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(dovish) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc810\ucc28 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 12\uc6d4 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d(\ub610\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\/\uc804\ud658) \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 Fed\uac00 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc911\uc9c0(pause) \ub610\ub294 \ud53c\ubc97(pivot) \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0bc \uacbd\uc6b0 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc57d\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \uc885\uc885 Fed\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc73c\uba70, 2019\ub144\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc PMI \ub454\ud654\ub294 Fed\uc758 \uc138 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 Fed \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \uc5f0\uc124\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud615\ud0dc\uc758 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c, \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc778 Fed\ub294 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774\ub098 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\uc694\uc758 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uad6c\ub9ac \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218) \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ucd95\uc18c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc2dc\uce74\uace0 PMI 56.7\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ud558\ud68c\u2026\ud655\uc7a5 \uc18d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc801 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc6b0\ub824. S&P500 \ud48b\u00b7VIX \ucf5c\ub85c \ubc29\uc5b4, SOFR \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50220,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50561"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50561\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50220"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}