{"id":50524,"date":"2026-06-30T08:21:45","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T08:21:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%9c%ec%84%a0-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T08:21:45","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T08:21:45","slug":"%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%9c%ec%84%a0-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%9c%ec%84%a0-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub3c5\uc77c \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \uc0c1\ud68c\u2026\uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd \uac1c\uc120 \uc18d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 ECB \uae34\ucd95 \uac15\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub3c5\uc77c \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(Destatis)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 5\uc6d4 \ub3c5\uc77c \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 1.1% \uc99d\uac00\ud574, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc600\ub358 0.1% \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\uac00 -0.4%\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uae30\uc874 -0.3%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 1.8% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc55e\uc11c 0.6% \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub410\ub2e4\uac00 \uae30\uc874 -0.3%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub41c \uc218\uce58\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(0%)\ub3c4 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc774\ub0a0 0.31% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 1.1386\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc5f0\ud569(EU) 20\uac1c\uad6d\uc774 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c, 2022\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc678\ud658\uac70\ub798\uc758 31%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc77c\ud3c9\uade0 \uac70\ub798\ub300\uae08\uc740 2\uc8702,000\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc804\uccb4 \uac70\ub798\uc758 \uc57d 30%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub418\uba70, \ub4a4\uc774\uc5b4 EUR\/JPY 4%, EUR\/GBP 3%, EUR\/AUD 2% \uc21c\uc774\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc740 \uc5f0 8\ud68c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uac1c\ucd5c\ud558\uace0 2% \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uba70, HICP(\uc870\ud654\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\ub97c \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c\u00b7\ud504\ub791\uc2a4\u00b7\uc774\ud0c8\ub9ac\uc544\u00b7\uc2a4\ud398\uc778\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 75%\ub97c \uad6c\uc131\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub3c5\uc77c \uc18c\ube44 \ud0c4\ub825\uc131\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ub3c5\uc77c \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ucd5c\ub300 \uacbd\uc81c\uad8c\uc758 \uae30\ucd08\uccb4\ub825\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uc18c\ube44 \ud0c4\ub825\uc131\uc740 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc804\ud558\uba70, \uac00\uacc4 \uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc654\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc18c\ube44 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 6\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc18d\ubcf4\uce58)\uc740 2.4%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 2.2%\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc640 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uacb0\ud569\ub418\uba74\uc11c ECB\uc5d0\ub294 \ub09c\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 7\uc6d4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uad00\uc804 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

ECB\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\ud558\uae38 \uae30\ub300\ud574 \uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ubc88 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uadf8 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub354 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub458 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ud588\uace0, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 25bp \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 60%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

ECB \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc720\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc801\uc808\ud55c \ub300\uc751\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ubc18 \ub454\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824 \uac04\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 EUR\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \uc801\ud569\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c ECB\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 2022~2023\ub144 \ucd08\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae09\ub4f1 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uadf8\ub7ac\ub358 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc ECB\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud504\ub7f0\ud2b8\uc6d4(front-month) \uc720\ub9ac\ubcf4(Euribor) \uc120\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \ud2b9\ud788 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \uae30\ucd08\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 ECB\ub294 \uace0\uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc911 \uace0\uc810 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub3c5\uc77c 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uae09\ubc18\ub4f1(\uc804\uc6d4\ube44 +1.1%)\uc5d0 \uc18c\ube44 \ud0c4\ub825 \ud655\uc778. 6\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00 2.4%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uce58\uba70 ECB 7\uc6d4\u00b79\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00\uc778\uc0c1(\ud655\ub960 60%) \uc555\ub825\u2191, \uc720\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50201,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50524"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50524\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50201"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}