{"id":50499,"date":"2026-06-30T02:21:13","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T02:21:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T02:21:13","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T02:21:13","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uc5d4\ud654 \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\uc811\u00b7\uc720\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1, \uae08\uac12 \ud558\ub77d\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \ucc28\uc775\uc2e4\ud604 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 101.10 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \ub354 \uc624\ub79c \uae30\uac04 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, 2026\ub144 ECB \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud3ec\ub7fc(Forum on Central Banking 2026)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2f4 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc ECB \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 1.1420\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ub3c5\uc77c \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\uc640 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 HICP(\uc870\ud654\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00) \uc608\ube44\uce58\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 1.3260 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uacbd\uacc4\uac10\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 USD\/JPY\uac00 161.90\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc2ed \ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ) \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ud070 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ucd09\uac01\uc744 \uace4\ub450\uc138\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 0.6890\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\uac00\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(NBS) \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\u00b7\ube44\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub3c4 \ub300\uae30 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\ub294 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\uc600\ub2e4. WTI\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ud2b8 \uc624\ube0c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988) \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uacf5\uae09 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 70.50\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uae08\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uae30\uc870\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\uc5d0 4,020\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ubaa8\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 1\ucc28 \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uace0\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub4ef\ud55c \uc810\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc774 19\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba70 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138(\ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc) \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud574 DXY \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacac\uc870\ud55c ECB \uac04 \ud798\uaca8\ub8e8\uae30\uac00 EUR\/USD \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 HICP \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c(sticky) \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud55c \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 3%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub294 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ub808\uc778\uc9c0) \ub0b4 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 EUR\/USD \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

USD\/JPY\ub294 40\uc5ec \ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uae34\uc7a5\uac10\uc774 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \ub192\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc774 2024\ub144 160\uc5d4 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub098\uc130\ub358 \uc804\ub840\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801 \uc870\uce58(\ub2f9\uad6d \uac1c\uc785) \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c USD\/JPY \ud604\ubb3c(\uc2a4\ud31f) \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub418, \uae09\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc RBA\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc911\uad6d \uacf5\uc2dd \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac 49.8\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc549\uc558\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. RBA \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud558\ub77d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 AUD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc6b4\uc0ac\uc774\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc804\ub9dd: \uae08\uacfc \uc720\uac00<\/h3>\n

\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc911 \uae08\uc740 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.5%\ub97c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, 4,020\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc218\ub144\uac04\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \ucd09\ubc1c \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\uac00\ub294 WTI\uac00 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \ubc84\ud2f0\uba70 \u2018\uce7c\ub0a0 \uc704\uc758 \uade0\ud615\u2019 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc2dc \ud070 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c WTI \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \u2018\uce74\uc6b4\ud2b8\ub2e4\uc6b4\u2019\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30, \uac15\uc138 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc720\ud6a8. \uc720\ub85c\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \ubc18\ub4f1, \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4. \uae08 \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc720\uac00\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ubc84\ud300\ubaa9. \uc635\uc158\uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50499","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50499"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50499\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50499"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50499"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50499"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}