{"id":50490,"date":"2026-06-29T23:20:55","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T23:20:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8c%88%eb%9f%ac%ec%8a%a4-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%95%ec%b2%b4%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%c2%b7%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98\/"},"modified":"2026-06-29T23:20:55","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T23:20:55","slug":"%eb%8c%88%eb%9f%ac%ec%8a%a4-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%95%ec%b2%b4%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%c2%b7%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8c%88%eb%9f%ac%ec%8a%a4-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%95%ec%b2%b4%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%c2%b7%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc9c0\uc218 \uc815\uccb4\u2026\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4 \uad6d\ucc44\u00b7\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc6d0\uc720 \uc20f\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uacbd\uae30\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 6\uc6d4 0\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\uc804 0.4\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ubcf4\ud569 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba70 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ud65c\ub3d9 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

6\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub0b4\ub824 \uc18c\ud3ed \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc774 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ub0b4 \uacf5\uc7a5 \ubd80\ubb38 \uc5ec\uac74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc8fc\ubaa9\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n

\ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uc81c\ub85c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc815\uccb4\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub0c9\uac01 \uc870\uc9d0\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc313\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud574\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc139\ud130 ETF \ub610\ub294 S&P 500\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc804\uad6d \ub2e8\uc704 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uc120\ud589 \uc2e0\ud638\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud2b9\ud788 \uc911\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uc804\uad6d \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud655\uc7a5\uacfc \uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub974\ub294 50\uc120\uc744 \uaca8\uc6b0 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\uc5b4\uc654\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c1\uc804 \uc218\uce58\ub294 50.2\uc600\ub2e4. \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc804\uad6d \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74(50 \ubbf8\ub9cc)\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654, \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc694, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/h3>\n

\uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ubcc0\ud654\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ud234\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 2026\ub144 9\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 45%\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 30%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub6f4 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 2\ub144\ubb3c\u00b75\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218) \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ud655\ub300\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uac00 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5d0\uc11c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc774\ubc88 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc694\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \uc774\ub2ec \ub4e4\uc5b4 4% \ud558\ub77d, \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 78\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uae30 \ub0c9\uac01 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\uc220\uc801 \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uad6c\ucd95\uc774 \uc218\uc775\uc131 \uc788\ub294 \ub300\uc751\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 13 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc800\uc810\uad8c\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud558\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 VIX \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ud328\ud134\uc740 2018~2019\ub144\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc57d\ud654\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud558\ub85c\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \ud53c\ubc97(pivot)\uc744 \uc55e\uc11c \uc608\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc2e0\uaddc \uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4\uac00 3.2% \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uac19\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc139\ud130\uc758 \ub454\ud654 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc9c0\uc218 6\uc6d4 0\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc815\uccb4 \uc2e0\ud638. ISM \uc704\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2191\uc5d0 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uac01. \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 \uae09\ub4f1, \uad6d\ucc44 \ub871\u00b7WTI \uc20f\u00b7VIX \ucf5c \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50199,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50490","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50490"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50490\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50490"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50490"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50490"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}