{"id":50484,"date":"2026-06-29T21:50:54","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T21:50:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%9d%bc%eb%b3%b4%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80fed-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91%eb%a1%a0-%ec%86%8d\/"},"modified":"2026-06-29T21:50:54","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T21:50:54","slug":"%eb%9d%bc%eb%b3%b4%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80fed-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91%eb%a1%a0-%ec%86%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%9d%bc%eb%b3%b4%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80fed-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91%eb%a1%a0-%ec%86%8d\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub77c\ubcf4\ubc45\ud06c \u201c\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u2026Fed \uc2e0\uc911\ub860 \uc18d \ud0c8\ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc804\ud658\uc740 \ub354\ub51c \uac83\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub77c\ubcf4\ubc45\ud06c(Rabobank)\ub294 2025\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uad00\uc138 \uad00\ub828 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\ub098 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uac00 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub97c \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc1b\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba74\uc11c \u2018\ud0c8(\u812b)\ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\u2019 \ub17c\uc7c1\uc774 \ud55c\uce35 \uc120\uba85\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc77c\ubd80 \uad6d\uac00\u00b7\uc9c0\uc5ed\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacb0\uc81c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd9c \uc720\uc778\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ucc28\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uc120\uac70 \uacb0\uacfc\uc640 \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc8fc\uc81c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc774\ud0c8\uc740 \ub290\ub9ac\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub418\uace0 \ubbf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub3fc, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc131\uacfc\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacbd\uae30(\uc0ac\uc774\ud074) \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \ubc1c\ubc1c \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(interest rate differentials)\uac00 G10 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uc654\uace0, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc(GBP)\ub294 \ucd08\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \ud655\ub300\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uc73c\ub098, \uc774\ud6c4 \uadf8 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\ud0c8\ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\u00b7\uc7a5\uae30\uc801 \ud14c\ub9c8\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ud0c8\ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ub17c\uc7c1\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ud14c\ub9c8\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub290\ub9b0 \uacfc\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 1\ucc28 \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 BRICS+ \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 2026\ub144 \ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\ub7c9\uc744 \ud569\uc0b0 \uae30\uc900 12% \uc774\uc0c1 \ub298\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub294 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28 \ub4f1 \uacbd\uae30\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc640 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uacfc \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 19\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac1c \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uae34 \ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc57d\ud558\uc9c4 \uc54a\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uac00 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \u20181\ud68c \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2019\ub9cc\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc774\ubc88 \ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc774\ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud55c \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uacfc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\ub85c(EUR)\uc640 \uc5d4(JPY) \ub300\ube44 \ucd94\uac00 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac 17\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uac04 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544, \uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \ubcf4\uc0c1\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \uc2ec\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc5c4 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub9cc\uae30 8~9\uc6d4 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc7a5\uc744 \uc774\ub04c\uc5c8\ub358 2014~2016\ub144\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ube44(\u975e)\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud070 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uac00 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294, EUR\/USD \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub77c\ubcf4\ubc45\ud06c \u201c\uad00\uc138 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ubabb \ub41c \ub2ec\ub7ec\u2026\ud0c8\ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \ub17c\uc7c1 \ud655\uc0b0\u201d. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc9c4\ud589\uc740 \ub354\ub514\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900-ECB \uaca9\ucc28\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0, DXY \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\u00b7EUR\/USD \ud48b \ud5e4\uc9c0 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