{"id":50428,"date":"2026-06-29T05:52:24","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T05:52:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-aud-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8crba\/"},"modified":"2026-06-29T05:52:24","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T05:52:24","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-aud-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8crba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-aud-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8crba\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\uc815\uc138 \uc18d \ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 AUD\/USD \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u2026RBA \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 0.6890 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uac07\ud614\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubcf4\ud569\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 101.30\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ubc14\uafc0\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub410\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ud234\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac70\uc758 90%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 11\ub9cc4,000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c, 5\uc6d4 17\ub9cc2,000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 3\ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac, OCR)\ub97c 4.35%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub358 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\ub294 20\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uc778 0.7003\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 27.70\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc740 0.7003\uacfc 6\uc6d4 15\uc77c \uace0\uc810 0.7088\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 3\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uc800\uc810 0.6833\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \uac70\uc2dc \ub3d9\uc778<\/h3>\n

2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 29\uc77c \uae30\uc900, AUD\/USD\ub294 0.6610 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud6c4\ubc18 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ud575\uc2ec \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uad00\ub9dd\uc138\uac00 \uc9d9\ub2e4. \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc758 1\ucc28 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uccb4\ub825\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4. NFP\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc2dd\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9 15\ub9cc \uba85\uc73c\ub85c 5\uc6d4 18\ub9cc5,000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc810\uccd0\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798, \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\u2019\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uba85\ubd84\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\uc8fc \uce21\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 RBA\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ud68c\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc744 \ub300\uae30 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\ub3c4 3.2% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, RBA \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c \ub0b4 \uacb0\uc18d \uc815\ub3c4\uac00 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0a0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uc57d \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ub258\uc559\uc2a4\ub098 \ub0b4\uc218 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c AUD\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uc138\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub2a5\ud558\ub294 20\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(\uc57d 0.6680) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. RSI\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \ub2e8\ub3c5 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf4\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \ud604 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub354 \ud070 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub418\uba70, \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 0.6550 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

NFP\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ub610\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 0.6600 \uc544\ub798\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud558\ubc29 \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc740 \ud655\uc2e0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub294 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc640 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c, NFP \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 AUD\/USD\uac00 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae34\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc88c\uc6b0\u201d\u2026AUD\/USD, NFP\u00b7RBA \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ub300\uae30 \uc18d 0.66~0.68 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c. \uc57d\uc138 \ucd94\uc138(20\uc77c\uc120 \ud558\ud68c)\u00b7RSI \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4, \uc800\ud56d 0.7003\/0.7088\u00b7\uc9c0\uc9c0 0.6833\/0.6550. \uc635\uc158\uc740 \ud48b\u00b7\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50263,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50428","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50428","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50428"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50428\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50428"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50428"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50428"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}