{"id":50359,"date":"2026-06-26T17:51:27","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T17:51:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ed%99%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%86%8d-nzd-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-rbnz\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T17:51:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T17:51:27","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ed%99%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%86%8d-nzd-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-rbnz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ed%99%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%86%8d-nzd-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-rbnz\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654 \uc18d NZD\/USD \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026 RBNZ \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc131\uc7a5 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c"},"content":{"rendered":"

NZD\/USD\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 0.5650 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 0.05% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc2e0\uaddc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\ud0a4\uc704)\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ubd80\ud569\ud588\uace0, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 0.4%\ub85c \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(0.5%)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ud654\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 7\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 25bp\ub97c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\ucdb0 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc73c\uba70, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 29.9%\ub85c 1\uc8fc \uc804 38.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud0a4\uc704\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub294\ub370, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 7\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR)\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. ASB\uc740\ud589\uc740 9\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \uae34\ucd95\uc774 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub418\uace0, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2027\ub144 \ucd08 3.25%\ub85c \uc815\uc810\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub450\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2e8\uae30 NZD\/USD\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Policy Divergence Limits Upside for NZD\/USD<\/h3>\n

NZD\/USD\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud604\uc7ac 0.6150 \uc218\uc900 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud55c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ud0a4\uc704\uac00 \uc57d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \uc591\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc790\ub9ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c NZD\/USD\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 2.9%\ub85c, \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 3.0%\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 7\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub294 55%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub9c8\uce68\ub0b4 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

New Zealand\u2019s Growth Struggles and Trading Strategies<\/h3>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uacbd\uc81c\uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 0.1%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba70 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc800\uc131\uc7a5\uc740 RBNZ\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc55e\uc11c 8\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 NZD\/USD\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uac70\ub098 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \ubaa8\uc778\ub2e4. \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub610\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uad6c\ucd95\uc774 \uc801\uc808\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud604 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 2014~2015\ub144\ucc98\ub7fc \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uac00 \ubd80\uac01\ub410\ub358 \uacfc\uac70 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\uc870 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc131\ud5a5\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc744 \ub454 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ud06c\uac8c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \u2018\uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\u2019\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e5\ub77d\uc774 \ub2e4\ub974\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud575\uc2ec \uc6d0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud558\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \uc808\ubc15\ud55c \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

NZD\/USD 0.5650\ub300 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc804\uc740 \uba3c\uac00. \ubbf8 PCE \ub454\ud654\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b77\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 \ud558\ub77d, \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 RBNZ \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc131\uc7a5\ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc815\ucc45\ucc28\ubcc4\ud654 \ubd80\uac01, \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50358,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50359"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50359\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50358"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}