{"id":50336,"date":"2026-06-26T12:21:35","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T12:21:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b89%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ed%99%95%eb%a5%a0-50-%eb%b0%91%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T12:21:35","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T12:21:35","slug":"pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b89%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ed%99%95%eb%a5%a0-50-%eb%b0%91%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b89%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ed%99%95%eb%a5%a0-50-%eb%b0%91%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"PCE \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u20269\uc6d4 Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 50% \ubc11\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 6\uc6d4 17\uc77c \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba70 0.2% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 101.43\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc5c8\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE\uc640 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uac01\uac01 4.1%, 3.4%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58(2%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 47.5%\ub85c, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 50% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ube61\ube61\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \uc77c\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 1\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 6\uc6d4 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \u2018\uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9(Prices Paid)\u2019 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 5\uc6d4 82.1\uc5d0\uc11c 79\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 2\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc740 5\uc6d4 17\ub9cc5000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c 11\ub9cc5000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 14\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c\ub418\ub294 CPI\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud560 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c ECB \uc2e0\ud2b8\ub77c(Sintra) \ud3ec\ub7fc\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \uc218\ub834 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \u201c\uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u201d\ub85c, FOMC \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub4f1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\ub4e4\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc815\uc810 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138<\/h3>\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud558\uba70 \ud604\uc7ac 105.8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.8%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(2%)\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac1c\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud55c \ub2ec\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\ub3d9\uacb0\u2019 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \ub3d9\ub960(50%) \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 6\uc6d4 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uacf5\uc7a5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2d0 \uce74\uc2dc\uce74\ub9ac \ubbf8\ub2c8\uc560\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc\uc758 \uc2f8\uc6c0\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1 \ub05d\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ub0a8\uacbc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

7\uc6d4 10\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0\ub294 \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\ud3ed\uc774 16\ub9cc \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba70, \uc774\ub294 5\uc6d4\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c8 21\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc758\ub3c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ud638\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70, \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \u2018\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\u2019\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc7a5\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc2dc\uc0ac<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131, \ud2b9\ud788 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc20f \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(short strangle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ucc98\ub7fc \uac15\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uac70\uc2dc \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uc815\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \ub4a4\ub530\ub974\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 75\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uba74\uc11c \uacbd\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ucda9 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub97c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \u2018\uc2e0\ud638\u2019\ub85c \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc774\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ubc84\ud37c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uacbd\uae30 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \ucd5c\uc18c\ud654\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac04 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\ub294 \ub354 \uc218\ub834\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud560 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub4f1\uc758 \uc5f0\uc7a5\ubcf4\ub2e4, \ud55c\ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \u2018\uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30(\ucf58\uc194\ub9ac\ub370\uc774\uc158)\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ucee4 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud53c\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\u201d \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 DXY \uc870\uc815: PCE \ub454\ud654\ub85c 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 50% \ud558\ud68c. ISM\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9\u00b7CPI\u00b7ECB \ubcc0\uc218 \uc18d \u2018\uae34\ucd95 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc7a5\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50336","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50336"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50336\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50166"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}