{"id":50325,"date":"2026-06-26T09:52:46","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T09:52:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T09:52:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T09:52:46","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \uc644\ud654\u00b7\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791, 10\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc11c \ud6c4\ud1f4"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 0.2% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc57d 0.8085\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc11c\uba70, \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 10\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 0.8140\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc870\uc815 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub838\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud558\uba74\uc11c 101.35 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. CME FedWatch\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uc18c 2\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 41.7%\ub85c, \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 50.2%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc720\uac00\ub3c4 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae30\uc220 \ud611\uc758 \uc9c4\uc804\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud750\ub984 \uac1c\uc120 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. S&P500 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 0.43% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 7,330\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc USD\/CHF\ub294 20\uae30\uac04 EMA(0.8007) \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uac15\uc138(\ubd88) \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0, RSI\ub294 65.37\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 3\uc6d4 31\uc77c \uace0\uc810 0.8043, \uc774\uc5b4 20\uc77c EMA 0.8007\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 8\uc6d4 1\uc77c \uace0\uc810 0.8172\uc640 0.8200\uc73c\ub85c, 0.8140 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc5ec\ubd80\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Drivers And Technical Outlook<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc USD\/CHF\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 0.8925 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uc870\uc815)\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucc28\uc775\uc2e4\ud604\uacfc \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub85c \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791\uc774 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uacb0\ud569\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.6%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub454\ud654\ub418\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5ec\ub984 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uad6d\ub9bd\uc740\ud589(SNB)\uc740 \uc774\ub2ec \ucd08 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 1.25%\ub85c \uc804\uaca9 \uc778\ud558\ud574 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud504\ub791 \ub300\ube44 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Strategy And Positioning<\/h3>\n

\ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 0.8900 \ubd80\uadfc \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 0.8850 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \ubb34\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 1~2\uc8fc \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ub354\uba38\ub2c8(OTM) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4, \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8(\uc778\ucef4 \ucc3d\ucd9c) \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc911\uae30 \uad00\uc810\uc758 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc778 SNB \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\ub294 \uacb0\uad6d USD\/CHF\ub97c \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc778\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud574 0.8850 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc870\uc815 \uc2dc \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 8~9\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30, 0.9000 \ubd80\uadfc \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 0.8990 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

RSI\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud6a1\ubcf4(\ucee8\uc194\ub9ac\ub370\uc774\uc158) \ub610\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uac15\uc138\ud615 \ud30c\uc0dd \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uae30 \uc804 \uc778\ub0b4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ud558\uba70 \uc9c4\uc785 \ud0c0\uc774\ubc0d\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c\uc5d0 USD\/CHF 0.8085\ub85c 0.2% \ud558\ub77d, 10\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc870\uc815. Fed \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc644\ud654. \uc9c0\uc9c0 0.8043\/0.8007, \uc800\ud56d 0.8140~0.8200.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50325","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50325","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50325"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50325\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50109"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}