{"id":50308,"date":"2026-06-26T06:21:16","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T06:21:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94ecb-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T06:21:16","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T06:21:16","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94ecb-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94ecb-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \uac15\ud654\u2026ECB \uc2e0\uc911\ub860 \uc18d EUR\/USD 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uadfc\uc811"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\u2026EUR\/USD \ud558\ub77d<\/p>\n

EUR\/USD\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ucd08\ubc18 1.1365\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9ac\uba70, \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \uae30\uc6b8\uc790 1.1350 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

5\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 4\uc6d4\uc758 3.3%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub6f0\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba74\uc11c 3\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 4.0%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 3.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.4%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 2023\ub144 10\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc5f0\uac04 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 9\uc6d4 15~16\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 63.4%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uc608\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 2.25%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uc73c\ub098, \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uad00\ub828 \ud30c\uae09\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \u2018\uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\u2019\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac, \uc720\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c<\/h3>\n

\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc640 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c EUR\/USD\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 5\uc6d4 PCE \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 4.1%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \uc720\ub85c\ub294 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\uace0, \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub458 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\uc81c \ud1b5\uacc4\ub85c\ub3c4 \uba85\ud655\ud558\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 3.4%\uc758 \uc218\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud0c0\ud2b8\uc758 \uc18d\ubcf4\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc870\ud654\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(HICP)\ub294 2.9%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0\ub294 \uae34\ucd95\uc758 \uba85\ubd84\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, ECB\ub294 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5: \uc635\uc158, \uc120\ubb3c, \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc<\/h3>\n

\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub9cc\uae30 8~9\uc6d4\uc758 EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud55c\ub2e4. 1.1300 \uc544\ub798\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc608: 1.1250, 1.1200)\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc720\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uaddc\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc ECB\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. 2014~2015\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc591\uc801\uc644\ud654 \uc885\ub8cc\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \ubc18\uba74 ECB\ub294 \uc790\uccb4 \uc644\ud654\ub97c \ub9c9 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uac00 1\ub144\uc774 \ucc44 \uc548 \ub3fc 20% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0\ub97c \uac10\uc218\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub77c\uba74 EUR\/USD \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uad6c\ucd95\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud55c\ub2e4. 1\ucc28 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 1.1300\uc758 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774\uba70, 2\ucc28 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 1.1240 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc870\uc815 \uad6c\uac04) \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc704\ub85c \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc190\uc808(\uc2a4\ud1b1\ub85c\uc2a4)\uc744 \uc124\uc815\ud560 \ubc29\uce68\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud655\uc2e0\ub3c4\ub294 \ub192\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 9\uc6d4 15~16\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 63.4%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \ud658\uc728\uc5d0 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uace0\ud655\ub960 \ucd09\ub9e4\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 ECB \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\ubc1c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. ECB \uc608\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 2.25%\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u2018PCE 4.1% \uc1fc\ud06c\u2019\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 63%\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c EUR\/USD 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uadfc\uc811. ECB\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911 \ubaa8\ub4dc, \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\u00b71.1300 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc2dc\ud5d8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50308","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50308","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50308"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50308\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50308"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50308"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50308"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}