{"id":50292,"date":"2026-06-26T02:51:22","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T02:51:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-pce-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T02:51:22","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T02:51:22","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-pce-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-pce-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec, PCE \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \uc644\ud654\u20267\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"

NZD\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c 6\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uba48\ucdc4\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.5650 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5c6\uc774 7\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 3.4%\ub85c 4\uc6d4(3.3%)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 0.3%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 4.1%\ub85c 3.8%\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uba70 2023\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234 \uae30\uc900 \ud655\ub960\uc740 67%\uc5d0\uc11c 60%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc57d 101.80\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub978 \ub4a4 101.40 \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. NZD\/USD\ub294 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) 0.5827 \ubc0f 100\uc77c SMA 0.5874 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uace0, RSI\ub294 29 \ubd80\uadfc, ADX\ub294 30 \uc0c1\ud68c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.5700\uacfc 0.5770, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.5600\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\n

NZD\/USD\ub294 \ud070 \ud3ed \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc73c\uba70 0.5880 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub454\ud654\ub3fc \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc740 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \ub09c\ucc98\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub193\uc774\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 7\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 55%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc57d 40%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub97c 104.50\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824 \ub193\uc740(\ud558\ub77d\uc2dc\ud0a8) \ucd5c\uadfc \uc57d\uc138\uc758 \uc8fc\ub41c \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n

\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uacbd\uc81c \uc5ec\uac74\uacfc \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d<\/h3>\n\n

\ubc18\ub300\ud3b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP -0.1%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uce68\uccb4\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 \uc790\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR) 5.50%\uc758 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\ud654\ub294 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub5a8\uc5b4\ub728\ub9b0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 NZD\/USD\ub294 200\uc77c SMA 0.6050 \ub4f1 \ud575\uc2ec \uc7a5\uae30 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 31 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc8fc\ub41c \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \uc804\ud658 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf4\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uac15\uc138 \uc2dc \ub9e4\ub3c4) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. 0.5950 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uad6c\ucd95 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138 \uc7ac\uac1c \uc2dc \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub2e8\uae30 \ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc800\uc810\uc778 0.5850 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub418\uba70, 0.5800\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c 0.5850 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub97c \ub17c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ucd5c\uc18c \uc870\uac74\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc14\ub2e5 \ub2e4\uc84c\ub098?\u201d NZD\/USD\ub294 PCE \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ubd80\ud569 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 6\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d \uba48\ucdc4\uc9c0\ub9cc, 7\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uadfc\uc811. Fed \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50291,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50292","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50292","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50292"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50292\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50291"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50292"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50292"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50292"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}