{"id":50278,"date":"2026-06-25T11:51:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T11:51:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-1-3150%ec%84%a0-%ec%9c%84\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T11:51:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T11:51:15","slug":"%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-1-3150%ec%84%a0-%ec%9c%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-1-3150%ec%84%a0-%ec%9c%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654, \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ud63c\ub780 \uc18d \ubbf8 PCE \uc9c0\ud45c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uba70 1.3150\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 1.3175\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0 1.3150 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 5\uc6d4 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc564\ub514 \ubc88\ud584\uc774 \uba54\uc774\ucee4\ud544\ub4dc \ubcf4\uad90\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud55c \ub4a4 \ud0a4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uba38 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uac00 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc0ac\uc784\ud558\uba74\uc11c(\ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9\uc740 \uc0c8 \ub2f9\ub300\ud45c \uc120\ucd9c \ubd88\uac00\ud53c) \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc57d\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 1.3150\uc744 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc800\uc810\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9b0 \ub4a4 \uc7a5 \ub9c9\ud310 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc73c\ub098, \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc800\uc810\uad8c\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd09 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 GBP\/USD\uac00 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uacfc 200\uc77c EMA\ub97c \ubaa8\ub450 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub450 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc740 1.3400 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\ub834\ud574 \ud604 \uc218\uc900 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 225\ud54d \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\ub85c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c 1.3000\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI(Stoch RSI)\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \uc911\uac04 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Political Uncertainty Fuels Bearish Sentiment in GBP\/USD<\/h3>\n

\uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ud604 \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ucd5c\uadfc \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd1d\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc784\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud558\uba70 GBP\/USD\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. 1.3200\uc120 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ub294 \uacbd\uacc4\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud53c\uce58(Fitch)\ub294 \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \u2018AA-\u2019 \uc2e0\uc6a9\ub4f1\uae09 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \u2018\ubd80\uc815\uc801\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc601\uad6d\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5f0\ub9f9(CBI) \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5 \ud22c\uc790 \uc758\ud5a5\uc774 2023\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c 21\ub9cc \uba85\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc7ac\ucc28 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Positioning For Further Downside and Historical Parallels<\/h3>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 GBP\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 1.3000\uc758 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud45c\ud604\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 3\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc778 9.5%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \uacfc\uac70 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4. 2016\ub144 \ube0c\ub809\uc2dc\ud2b8 \uad6d\ubbfc\ud22c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc815\uce58 \ud63c\ub780, 2022\ub144 \u2018\ubbf8\ub2c8 \uc608\uc0b0\uc548\u2019 \uc704\uae30 \ub2f9\uc2dc \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud558\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ub3d9\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae30\uc220\uc801 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc774 \uc218\ub834\ud55c 1.3400 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub450\ud130\uc6b4 \uc800\ud56d\ub300\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.3000\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uba70, \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc544\uc9c1 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ub9cc\ud07c \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \ucd09\ub9e4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc774\uba70, \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub728\uac70\uc6b8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c1.30 \ubcf4\uc774\ub124\u201d GBP\/USD, PCE \uc55e\ub450\uace0 1.3175 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc57d\uc138 \uc6b0\uc704. \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c\u00b7\ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138, \uc601\uad6d \ucd1d\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc784\u00b7\ub4f1\uae09\uc804\ub9dd \ud558\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ubd80\ub2f4. 1.3400 \uc800\ud56d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50278","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50278"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50278\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50180"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50278"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50278"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50278"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}