{"id":50264,"date":"2026-06-25T10:58:54","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T10:58:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%eb%a5%a0-4-4%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%95%95%eb%a0%a5\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T10:58:54","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T10:58:54","slug":"%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%eb%a5%a0-4-4%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%95%95%eb%a0%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%eb%a5%a0-4-4%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%95%95%eb%a0%a5\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.4%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uace0\uc6a9 \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0\ub3c4 AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825 \uc9c0\uc18d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(ABS)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 5\uc6d4 \ud638\uc8fc \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4\uc6d4 4.5%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.4%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 4\uc6d4(\uc218\uc815\uce58) 4\ub9cc700\uba85 \uac10\uc18c \uc774\ud6c4 4\ub9cc300\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58(2\ub9cc5000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\ucc38\uac00\uc728\uc740 66.6%\uc5d0\uc11c 66.7%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\uc77c\uc81c \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 4\uc6d4(\uc218\uc815\uce58) 2\ub9cc1700\uba85 \uac10\uc18c \ud6c4 5200\uba85 \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \uc2dc\uac04\uc81c \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 4\uc6d4(\uc218\uc815\uce58) 1\ub9cc9000\uba85 \uac10\uc18c \uc774\ud6c4 3\ub9cc5200\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. ABS\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \ucde8\uc5c5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub300\uae30 \uc911\uc778 \uc778\uc6d0 \uc801\uccb4(backlog)\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc57d 4\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218\ub294 1\ub9cc8000\uba85 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0, AUD\/USD\ub294 0.09% \ub0b4\ub9b0 0.6893\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 100\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA)\uacfc 20\uc77c \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800\ubc34\ub4dc \uc911\ub2e8(0.7045 \ubd80\uadfc) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uc73c\uba70, RSI(14)\ub294 \uc57d 27 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 \ud558\ub2e8 \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800\ubc34\ub4dc 0.6882\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.7045, \uc774\ud6c4 100\uc77c SMA 0.7083, \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800\ubc34\ub4dc 0.7208 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\ud638\uc8fc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacac\uc870\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.4%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub3c4 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uac83\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uad6d\ub0b4 \ud638\uc7ac\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub2e8\ub3c5\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\uae30\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc774\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 3.8%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uace0\uc9c8\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300(\uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \ubc18\uc601)\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. \uc644\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uac00\uc7a5 \ucd5c\uadfc(6\uc6d4) \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc57d\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.5%\ub85c \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uace0\uc6a9 \ucc3d\ucd9c\ub3c4 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 RBA\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uade0\ud615\uc744 \uc7a1\uc544\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ucda9\ub41c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ud559\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ucd94\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \u2018\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc624\ub798(higher for longer)\u2019 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uace0\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc, \ud638\uc8fc \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub300\uc678 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc0c1\ucda9 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ud070 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uc591\ucabd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 AUD\/USD \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\ub3c4 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, ASX 200 VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec\uac04 8% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc5b8\uae09\ub41c \uc57d\uc138 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\ub3c4\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \uacbd\ub85c(path of least resistance)\u2019\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud558\ubc29\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc704\ud5d8(defined-risk) \ubc29\uc2dd\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc704\ud5d8\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc545\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc720\ud6a8\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 0.6880 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uad00\ucc30 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.4%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d, \uace0\uc6a9 4\ub9cc\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \u2018\ubbf8\ub3d9\u2019\u2026\u7f8e \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc81c\ud55c. 0.6880 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc8fc\ubaa9, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50263,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50264","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50264","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50264"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50264\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50264"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50264"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50264"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}