{"id":50244,"date":"2026-06-25T10:24:42","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T10:24:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%9c%eb%a1%9c-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%c2%b7wti-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T10:24:42","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T10:24:42","slug":"%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%9c%eb%a1%9c-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%c2%b7wti-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%9c%eb%a1%9c-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%c2%b7wti-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub85c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\u00b7WTI \uae09\ub77d\u2026\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc804 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uc7ac\uac1c\ud1b5\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub41c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.22% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 101.62\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 4% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 \uc57d 70.00\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc130\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc57d 10bp \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 2% \ub0b4\ub9b0 4.40%\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\ub3c4 \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. 5\ub144\u00b710\ub144 \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc774\ube10 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc728\uc740 \uac01\uac01 2.24%, 2.21%\ub85c, 4\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \uace0\uc810(\uac01\uac01 2.72%, 2.5%) \ub300\ube44 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 29\uc77c FOMC\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 60%, \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP, \ub0b4\uad6c\uc7ac \uc218\uc8fc, \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ud1b5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751<\/h3>\n

\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ud1b5\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, WTI\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 70\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacbd\uacc4\uac10\uc774 \uc989\uac01 \uc9c4\uc815\ub418\uba74\uc11c 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4.40% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5ec\ub984\ucca0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub204\uadf8\ub7ec\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud589\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\ub3c4 \ubc14\uafd4\ub193\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 7\uc6d4 29\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 70%\ub85c \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.6%\ub85c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \uc810\uc740 \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \u2018\uad00\ub9dd\u2019\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud560 \ucda9\ubd84\ud55c \uadfc\uac70\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \ubc0f \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

\uc635\uc158 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ub41c\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 15 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacf5\ud3ec \uc2ec\ub9ac \uc644\ud654\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub300\ud615 \uc6b0\ub7c9\uc8fc\ub97c \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ucee4\ubc84\ub4dc\ucf5c \ub610\ub294 \ud604\uae08\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ud48b \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub4f1 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uac15\ub3c4\uac00 \ub35c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc77c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\ud558\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub77d)\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8 \uc544\ub798 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c(\ud2b9\ud788 \ub178\ud2b8 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ubc88\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc778\ub0b4\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub113\ud600\uc8fc\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 101.60\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uc758\uc678\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778(\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801) \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub41c \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ub370\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, EUR\/USD \ub4f1 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6d0\uc720 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ubc29\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uad00\ub828 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud574\uc18c\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uacf5\uae09 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\u2019\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uac77\ud614\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 WTI\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub4f1 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc57d\uc138 \ub610\ub294 \uc911\ub9bd \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ud1b5 \u2018\ubc18\uc804\u2019\u2026\uc720\uac00 4% \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc9c4\uc815, \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac 4.40%\ub85c 10bp\u2193. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 101.6 \uac15\uc138, 7\uc6d4 FOMC \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50243,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50244","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50244"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50244\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50243"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50244"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50244"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50244"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}