{"id":50238,"date":"2026-06-25T09:59:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T09:59:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T09:59:14","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T09:59:14","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300\ub85c \uae08\uac12 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uae09\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uae08(XAU\/USD)\uc740 \ubd81\ubbf8 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uac04\ub300\uc778 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 3% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uba70 3,986\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\uace0, 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uae08\uac12 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc778 101.80\uc744 \ud130\uce58\ud588\uace0, 0.19% \uc624\ub978 101.56\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc57d 9bp \ud558\ub77d\ud574 4.410%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 70.55\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 3.40% \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub294\ub370, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04 \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc758 \ud575 \uc2dc\uc124 \uc0ac\ucc30 \uad00\ub828 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 19\uba85 \uc911 8\uba85\uc774 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uaed8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc810\ucce4\uace0, \ub2e4\uc218\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ud504\ub77c\uc784 \ud130\ubbf8\ub110\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0 60% vs \uc778\uc0c1 40%\u2019\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 12\uc6d4\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 82%\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uace0 20bp\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc774 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\uc774 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA)\uc778 4,473\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \ub4a4 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\uc138\uac00 \uac00\uc18d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c4\uc785\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc 20\uc120 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. 3,950\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc774\uc5b4 2025\ub144 10\uc6d4 28\uc77c \uc2a4\uc719 \uace0\uc810\uc778 3,886\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uadf8 \ub2e4\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 2025\ub144 4\uc6d4 22\uc77c \uc77c\uac04 \uace0\uc810\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ub41c 3,500\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uc704\ud574 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 3\uc6d4 23\uc77c \uc77c\uac04 \uc800\uc810\uc778 4,098\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc138\uacc4\uae08\ud611\ud68c(WGC)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 2022\ub144 \uc57d 700\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc778 1,136\ud1a4\uc758 \uae08\uc744 \ucd94\uac00 \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \uc77c\uc815\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE, 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP, \ub0b4\uad6c\uc7ac \uc8fc\ubb38, \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uacac\uc778<\/h3>\n\n

\uc624\ub298 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc774\ud0c8\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc758 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\uc740 \ud558\ubc29\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uce58\uc19f\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c, \ud574\uc678 \uc218\uc694\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\uc774 \ub354 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c0\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ud1b5\uc0c1\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uc555\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uad00\uac74\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\ub300\uc774\uba70, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 82%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud655\uc2e0\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 CME\uc758 FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\uc640\ub3c4 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc804\uc220\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CFTC \uc790\ub8cc\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30 \uc138\ub825\uc740 \uae08 \uc21c\ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc904\uc600\ub2e4. \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(3.0%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \ub354 \u2018\ub728\uac70\uc6b4\u2019 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub610 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uacb0\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud558\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

RSI\uac00 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc544\uc9c1 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801 \uc800\uc810\uc740 \uc544\ub2cc \ub9cc\ud07c, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\ub294 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub2e4\uc74c \ud569\ub9ac\uc801 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 3,950\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub610\ub294 3,900\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ud604 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95\uacfc \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub20c\ub800\ub358 2022~2023\ub144 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacbd\uacc4\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720\uc790\ub294 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uae08 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd95\uad34\u201d XAU\/USD 3% \uae09\ub77d, \ub2ec\ub7ec 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc774 \ud558\ubc29 \uc8fc\ub3c4. \uc5f0\uc900 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\u00b7\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc774\ud0c8\ub85c 3,900~3,886 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc2dc\ud5d8, \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 4,000 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uad00\uac74.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50237,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50238","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50238"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50238\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50237"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50238"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50238"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}